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The Washington Wizards had a turbulent season, to say the least, regardless of some vibrant spots. They began 11-10, solely to lose 10 straight video games quickly after. Washington adopted that up by profitable six of seven, dropping 5 of six, after which happening a six-game win streak. Wizards followers can solely deal with a lot pleasure.
Led by Bradley Beal, a resurgent Kristaps Porzingis, and a breakout yr for Kyle Kuzma, they nonetheless managed to complete 35-47 and have the eighth-worst file within the NBA. This after deciding on Johnny Davis within the high 10 final yr, although he had a disappointing rookie season. Sadly, they discover themselves within the lottery once more, however what are the chances that they find yourself with the #1 decide?
Washington Wizards full draft odds
1st pick-6.7%
2nd pick-7.0%
third pick-7.4%
4th pick-7.8%
At 6.4%, the Wizards don’t precisely have a excessive probability of profitable the draft lottery. Then once more, the Pelicans acquired the #1 decide after additionally ending with the eighth-worst file within the NBA again in 2019. It’s not inconceivable that the identical might occur for the Wizards, which might permit them to utterly reconstruct their team around Victor Wembanyama. Finest-case state of affairs apart, they’ve a one in three probability of shifting up from sixth.
That is also large. Depending on how the draft shakes out, they may find yourself with a high prospect, even with the fourth decide. As an illustration, if Houston, San Antonio, and Detroit land the highest three picks, Wembanyama, Amen Thompson, and Brandon Miller might be taken one-three. That would depart Scoot Henderson, a participant who may’ve been the primary decide in one other draft, at 4. That’s solely attainable. Now, let’s check out the worst-case state of affairs subsequent.
eighth pick-32.9%
ninth pick-31.1%
tenth pick-6.6%
eleventh pick-0.4%
twelfth decide: >0.0
Barring some terrible luck, Washington in all probability gained’t truly decide eleventh or twelfth. There may be a few one in three probability they keep at eight and a one in three probability they transfer all the way down to 9. In comparison with groups forward of them, there may be a lot much less volatility in Washington’s draft place, and their lifelike worst-case state of affairs is that they drop a spot if they’re unfortunate.
Finally, the Wizards might use some magic to land the highest decide. Luckily, even when they don’t, they nonetheless have an honest probability to maneuver up and take an influence participant.
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