Predictions for Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith

If you happen to’re planning to make prop bets or some other wagers on season-long NFL participant manufacturing, listed below are our steered 2022 bets for some key Philadelphia Eagles’ playmakers. All prop bets are primarily based on FanDuel over/unders, that includes Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith.

Prime Philadelphia Eagles prop bets for 2022

The next NFL betting suggestions are primarily based on 10 years of NFL analysis analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, sturdiness, shifting personnel, schedule, and different components assist form these assessments.

Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts turned 24 years outdated in August and has solely 19 regular-season begins underneath his belt. His second-year leap in 2021 was exceptional, as he helped lead Philly to the postseason regardless of ending twenty first in passing yards and tied for twenty third in passing TDs. 4 of his 5 prime targets have been 23 years outdated or youthful. To say that he has nowhere to go however up could be an understatement.

Even when Hurts doesn’t enhance as a passer, the offseason commerce for A.J. Brown has reworked this passing assault from “sub-par” to “superb.” And if Hurts makes a 12 months 3 soar . . . properly, it’s straightforward to see how one of many league’s top-three dual-threat QBs could possibly be in MVP conversations. Betting in opposition to Hurts this season means he gained’t enhance. I’m not shopping for that assumption.

Passing yards: Over 3,450.5
Passing TDs: Over 22.5
Interceptions: Below 11.5

A.J. Brown

Brown’s prop bets are fascinating. On the one hand, his lofty projections seem like protected. He’s an ascending 25-year-old expertise who’s thrived regardless of by no means exceeding 106 targets in a season. Final yr, he was on a 17-game tempo for 82 catches, 1,136 receiving yards, and 7 scores. Apparently, the sky’s the restrict.

Nevertheless, in Philadelphia, he’s joined probably the most succesful receiving corps he’s ever been part of. In his rookie 2019 marketing campaign, Brown’s fiercest competitors was an underperforming Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, Adam Humphries, and Tajae Sharpe.

In 2020, Davis stepped up, whereas everybody else stepped again, making the Titans virtually fully a two-man passing assault. Final yr, Brown was the clear No. 1 wideout forward of an injury-riddled Julio Jones, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Chester Rogers, and Anthony Firkser.

And it appears the props market has over-weighted the latter points — that Brown will regress alongside Smith and Dallas Goedert. Due to this, we’ve to lean within the different course, as Brown’s practical flooring is correct alongside his present over/unders.

Receiving yards: Over 1,000.5
Receiving TDs: Over 6.5

DeVonta Smith

Final summer time, DeVonta Smith and Ja’Marr Chase have been neck-and-neck in ADP. Two rookies. Two breakout candidates. However solely Chase produced a traditionally excessive stat line. Smith, in the meantime, struggled via inconsistent manufacturing with a quarterback whose expertise was nearer to a rookie’s than a second-year participant’s.

If we consider in Hurts’ continued growth, then we will consider in Smith’s, no matter Brown’s presence. Smith entered the league as a franchise WR, so now the Eagles have two of them.

This isn’t a zero-sum sport scenario. The addition of Brown doesn’t imply a subtraction for Smith. For my part, it merely means an elevation for Hurts. In different phrases, we must always have the ability to financial institution on Smith replicating or exceeding his rookie numbers. Whereas he doesn’t have a TD prop obtainable, his receiving-yard prop is just too beneficiant to disregard.

Receiving yards: Over 875.5