PECOTA’s Early Release is Here! Plus Updates to Leaderboards and Player Cards

Whats up BP Readers!

As we mentioned in our 2023 Offseason Primer, we’re launching our PECOTA participant projections sooner than ever. We famous that they’d launch in mid-December and… 

[looks at calendar] 

[blood drains from our faces as we realize how soon the Annual is due to the printer] 

[gulps] 

…haha, that’s now, isn’t it!

As we go about placing the ebook collectively, you can go about testing our participant projections in quite a few methods, some outdated and, sure, some new! And earlier than you ask: This PECOTA launch doesn’t embrace standings projections, The Ax, or SSDA, or actually something on the crew degree. It’s targeted on particular person participant projections. Moreover, needless to say these iterations of the projections will change, maybe considerably. The obvious enter for that is depth chart changes, however it’s doable different points could also be fine-tuned. 

Spreadsheets

As we’ve accomplished without end, the downloadable spreadsheets of participant projections can be found on the usual landing page. You’ll word, nevertheless, that we should not have accompanying articles or explainers to go along with them. That’s as a result of one aspect impact of supplying PECOTA at the moment of yr is that we’re at a very restricted bandwidth. Our PECOTA Week launch that normally occurs in February will nonetheless be occurring round that point of yr, and that’s after we’ll present all of the context, nuance, and enjoyable you’re used to seeing accompany the projections themselves. Additionally, we’ll know the place everybody’s taking part in by then, which is form of helpful. 

We felt offering PECOTA this time of yr was a superb factor to do since we’ve got it prepared, and fantasy gamers particularly might make use of it, however it’s extra of a no-frills providing than our normal launch.

Leaderboards

Because it stands, if you’re a subscriber to BP at both of our yearly ranges (Premium or Tremendous-Premium), you may already entry PECOTA on the leaderboards by ticking a little bit field above the varied tabs. In the event you’re not an annual subscriber, BP 360 is running through Wednesday (12/20) and is the best way to access all of BP. 

If you do, although, it defaults to a selected order that isn’t manipulable, and might be considerably irritating to work together with. It’s mainly finest used as a way to obtain as a CSV and go from there. 

Not, although! As a part of our 2024 launch, we’ve been arduous at work redesigning how one can work together with PECOTA instantly on the web site, and we count on you’ll be pleased with the outcomes. Now, you will notice the choice to pick out the PECOTA leaderboard proper alongside our present Hitting, Pitching, Fielding, and Baserunning leaderboards:

If you do, if you’re a subscriber to the aforementioned tiers and logged in, you’ll get the under:

…however with a bunch of names and all these projected stats under it. As you may word, there are actually:

• Filters for each age and place

• A percentile dropdown filter

• • • Ranges from 1-99 at particular intervals

• • encompass our remaining pre-season participant projections from prior seasons 
  • These are restricted to 2020-present. 

There are additionally 4 tabs current. The picture above reveals Hitting Abstract, which could have your normal counting statistics, slash line stats, plus the core parts that roll up into WARP on the right-most column on the web page. We even have:

Hitting Charges

It’s possible self-explanatory, however the above are the charges at which we venture every batter to supply for the varied metrics. 

Pitching Abstract

As with the Hitting Abstract, so too for pitching:

Pitching Charges

And likewise with pitching charges:

If there’s something that you simply’ve come to depend on within the spreadsheet that’s not represented in these tabs, concern not! The spreadsheet classes have remained unchanged.

Participant Playing cards

Our participant playing cards have additionally acquired one thing of a major replace!

If you try considered one of our present participant playing cards, you may scroll down a bit and discover the normal batting seasons below the Stats tab, and may additional scroll by means of to take a look at Batted Ball and Plate Self-discipline metrics, as partially proven under:

You’ll word that there are two different tabs in Stats Breakdown and PECOTA (the latter of which is seen and accessible to, you guessed it, yearly subscribers who’re additionally logged in). Stats Breakdown offered a bunch of tables starting from our detailed WARP report back to DRC element figures to fielding stats to baserunning metrics. 

We checked out all this and determined: an excessive amount of scrolling, not almost sufficient tabs:

The brand new participant card format will largely match the structure and performance of our leaderboards. The identical top-level tabs exist (Hitting, Pitching, Fielding, Baserunning, PECOTA), and the identical sub-tabs exist for every of these top-level tabs, and also you’ll discover the identical statistical classes on the participant card tabs that you’ll on the corresponding leaderboard. 

We’ll word that this does imply the placement of varied stats has shifted, however hope you will see that each the leaderboards and playing cards simpler to make use of because the familiarity of 1 will translate to the opposite. We’re fairly enthusiastic about these adjustments.

As for PECOTA particularly, that tab ought to now be seen to anybody who visits our participant card, however the info will solely be out there to yearly subscribers who’re additionally logged in. As mentioned above, there’s a shared format from the leaderboards, so in the event you can entry PECOTA, you will notice the identical Abstract and Charges choices there that you simply did on the leaderboards, in addition to the identical season and percentile filter choices:

Each Hitting and Pitching tabs will present up no matter participant place for now, however a projection will solely populate based mostly on whether or not the participant is a hitter or pitcher. 

***

So there you’ve it. That’s the lengthy and in need of our updates to our leaderboards and participant playing cards alongside our earliest ever launch of PECOTA. As with something new like this, we count on there can be sure issues that don’t work completely proper, straight off the bat, regardless of our greatest efforts to carefully take a look at them. Be happy to let me know or depart one thing right here within the feedback. One instance: Our Stats Overview within the high proper of every participant card received’t populate something for the time being. That must be addressed over the course of the offseason, and be prepared in time for the common season when it’ll be a bit extra helpful.

We’ve acquired a bunch extra concepts and tweaks within the hopper and look ahead to bringing them to you quickly. Your help helps us get them accomplished, and transfer on to our subsequent enjoyable new concept, so thanks for studying and subscribing to Baseball Prospectus.