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The Week 6 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we now have you coated with what you might want to know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters convey us the largest keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s largest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody palms out useful fantasy football intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us closing rating picks for each recreation. Every part you wish to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the total Week 6 slate, together with a Ravens-Titans showdown in London, a Belichick-McDaniels reunion in Vegas and an NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers on ESPN. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except in any other case famous.)
Leap to a matchup:
BAL-TEN | SF-CLE | SEA-CIN
MIN-CHI | WSH-ATL | CAR-MIA
IND-JAX | NO-HOU | NE-LV
ARI-LAR | PHI-NYJ | DET-TB
NYG-BUF | DAL-LAC
Thursday: KC 19, DEN 8
Bye: GB, PIT
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Spread: BAL -4 (41)
Storyline to observe: The Titans have scored touchdowns on solely 35.3% of their purple zone visits this season, touchdown them in a tie with the Texans for third worst within the NFL. In the meantime, the Ravens’ purple zone protection has given up touchdowns on an NFL-low 25% of opposing offenses’ visits contained in the 20-yard line. Getting seven factors as an alternative of kicking area objectives may very well be the distinction, as three of the Titans’ 5 video games this season have been determined by one rating. — Turron Davenport
Daring prediction: Zay Flowers will rating his first profession TD. The Ravens rookie receiver is actually due; Flowers is tied with Jaguars tight finish Evan Engram for essentially the most catches this season (29) with out reaching the top zone. However the Titans’ secondary has been good, giving up simply 5 passing touchdowns to this point. — Jamison Hensley
Stat to know: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 factors in 23 straight video games, the longest energetic streak within the NFL and the longest in franchise historical past.
Matchup X issue: Titans defensive lineman Denico Autry. When lined up as an edge rusher, Autry has a 24% move rush win charge, which might rank proper on the perimeter of the highest 10 if he certified. And he has 4 sacks. Autry has the potential to disrupt the Baltimore move recreation. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: Titans cornerback Kristian Fulton has given up 267 yards this season. Josh Downs, Ja’Marr Chase, Michael Pittman Jr. and others have exploited this matchup all season. Jackson and Flowers ought to do the identical. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Each groups have had 4 of their first 5 video games this season go underneath the entire, together with three straight. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Ravens 28, Titans 23
Walder’s choose: Ravens 24, Titans 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 68.7% (by a mean of 6.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Beckham says ankle better, but he has to improve … Titans sticking to same routine as 2018 in search of first win in London … Ravens receivers will ‘be better’ after 5-drop game … Titans’ Fulton on penalties: Hard to play against refs and WRs
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: SF -6.5 (37)
Storyline to observe: This recreation pits one of many NFL’s greatest offenses towards considered one of its greatest defenses. The 49ers are No. 2 in offensive effectivity (87.1), whereas the Browns are No. 1 in defensive (87.0). The 49ers have scored 30 factors in eight straight video games, the fifth-longest streak in NFL historical past — however the Browns have given up simply 5 offensive touchdowns all season. — Jake Trotter
Daring prediction: 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa will get three sacks. Regardless of getting constant strain, Bosa has simply 1.5 sacks by the primary 5 video games. However there’s motive to consider a breakout is coming. Browns quarterbacks are averaging 3.09 seconds to throw, the second-slowest common within the league. Most groups emphasize getting the ball out fast towards the Niners, however that hasn’t been a power of Cleveland. Regardless who begins at QB for the Browns, Bosa can get his sack complete again on observe right here. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to know: This can be Cleveland defensive finish Myles Garrett‘s 89th profession recreation. His 80 sacks are the third most by any participant in his first 90 profession video games since 1982, when sacks turned official, after Corridor of Famer Reggie White (98) and the Steelers’ T.J. Watt (83.5).
Matchup X issue: 49ers offensive sort out Trent Williams. One of many solely methods the Browns can win this recreation is that if Garrett takes over — which he can. However fortuitously for the Niners, Garrett sometimes strains up towards the left sort out, and that is the place the power of their offensive line lies. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: San Francisco permits the eighth-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. Managers who’re pondering of beginning Jerome Ford ought to think about different choices. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The 49ers are 4-0-1 towards the unfold (ATS) this season with three straight covers. They’re the one workforce left with out an ATS loss. Read more.
Moody’s choose: 49ers 28, Browns 14
Walder’s choose: 49ers 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: SF, 66.2% (by a mean of 5.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: 49ers receivers must clear out defenders before catching passes … How Jim Schwartz has transformed the Browns’ defense … 49ers send strong statement to NFL with domination of Cowboys
1:44
Kittle on 49ers’ scorching begin: We needed to hit the bottom working this season
George Kittle joins Pat McAfee to interrupt down the workforce’s motivation going into this season after their loss to the Eagles within the NFC Championship recreation.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CIN -2.5 (45)
Storyline to observe: This recreation can be decided by how nicely Bengals QB Joe Burrow and the offense reply to Seahawks’ move rush. Seattle ranks fourth within the NFL in move rush win charge (55%), and its defensive entrance has the Bengals’ full consideration. That group can be a terrific check for Burrow’s mobility as he continues to improve from his calf harm. — Ben Child
Daring prediction: The Seahawks will blitz Burrow early and infrequently. When pressured this season, Burrow ranks close to the underside of the NFL in yards per try (3.1, thirty first), completion share (36.4%, twenty sixth) and QBR (10.7, twenty fourth). That is possible a product of his injured calf, although it did not appear to have an effect on him as a lot last week. With Jamal Adams again from his concussion, the Seahawks — coming off their 11-sack efficiency towards the Giants — will come after Burrow till he proves he can beat their blitzes together with his arm and/or legs. — Brady Henderson
Stat to know: The Bengals have received six straight regular-season video games towards NFC opponents, the second-longest energetic win streak vs. the opposing convention. (The Eagles have received eight straight vs. the AFC).
Matchup X issue: Seahawks cornerbacks Riq Woolen and Michael Jackson. The reemergence of the Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase connection final week makes the Bengals harmful once more. But when the Seahawks’ corners can decelerate Chase, the Bengals’ offense may scuffle with Tee Higgins questionable to play. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Seahawks’ protection has allowed the second-most fantasy factors per recreation to large receivers. It’s a good signal for fantasy managers who’ve Burrow, Chase or one other Bengals pass-catcher on their workforce. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Seahawks have coated in three straight video games. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Bengals 30, Seahawks 20
Walder’s choose: Seahawks 29, Bengals 21
FPI prediction: SEA, 53.5% (by a mean of 1.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Seahawks trends to watch … Chase called for the ball, then set a Bengals record … Burrow created ‘special magic’ in breakout performance
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: MIN -2.5 (44.5)
Storyline to observe: Two large receivers are within the highlight for this NFC North showdown for contrasting causes. The Vikings can be with out Justin Jefferson after a hamstring injury landed him on injured reserve, whereas Chicago’s DJ Moore is coming off a efficiency towards Washington that earned him NFC Offensive Participant of the Week (230 receiving yards, three touchdowns). Jefferson and Moore rank third (571) and fifth (531), respectively, amongst all gamers in receiving yards coming into Week 6. — Courtney Cronin
Daring prediction: Justin Fields can have extra passing yards than Kirk Cousins. Fields has thrown for 617 yards in his previous two video games, the fourth most within the NFL over that stretch. Cousins has the NFL’s second-most passing yards this season (1,498), however the Vikings are sure to dial again their passing recreation within the absence of Jefferson. — Kevin Seifert
Stat to know: The Vikings are 1-4 this season in one-score video games (11-0 final season). They’re the one workforce to play in 5 one-score video games in 2023.
Matchup X issue: Moore. He is an offseason acquisition who seems to be understanding. Along with recording greater than 500 yards in 5 video games, Moore leads all large receivers and tight ends within the Receiver Tracking Metrics‘ General Rating (85) — which measures receivers’ skills to get open, make the catch and generate yards after the catch, all relative to expectation. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Bears’ protection provides up the third-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. The Vikings ought to see impartial to optimistic recreation movement towards Chicago, which bodes nicely for Alexander Mattison‘s fantasy outlook. In 4 of his 5 video games this season, he has scored 10 or extra fantasy factors. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: All 5 Bears video games have gone over the entire this season. Vikings video games are 4-1 to the over with three straight overs. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Bears 28, Vikings 24
Walder’s choose: Vikings 34, Bears 20
FPI prediction: MIN, 59.6% (by a mean of three.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Cousins says trade talk ‘not worth my time’ … Coming off 5-sack effort, Bears hoping to energize defense … What’s next for the Vikings without Jefferson?
0:33
Why Matt Bowen sees DJ Moore as a WR1 in Week 6
Matt Bowen explains why DJ Moore ought to be began in all fantasy lineups in Week 6.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: ATL -2.5 (42.5)
Storyline to observe: It will as soon as once more be an extremely shut recreation — and historical past proves it. The Falcons and Commanders performed in 2021 (Washington received with 33 seconds left) and in 2022 (Marcus Mariota threw an interception within the Washington finish zone with 1:03 remaining), with Washington successful each occasions. The large key can be on the strains, the place Washington’s proficient defensive entrance will attempt to trigger havoc for Atlanta quarterback Desmond Ridder, who has been sacked 16 occasions in 5 video games. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: Washington defensive finish Chase Young will power a fumble or interception by Ridder. Younger has three sacks in his 4 video games and was extremely energetic within the loss to Chicago in Week 4, with a move rush win charge of 36.4%. — John Keim
Stat to know: Washington quarterback Sam Howell has been sacked an NFL-high 29 occasions this season. David Carr (39 in 2002) is the most-sacked quarterback by a workforce’s first six video games of a season since sacks have been first tracked in 1963.
Matchup X issue: The Commanders’ move rush. Regardless of having massive names, the Commanders rank simply twenty sixth in move rush win charge. Ridder has taken sacks at a higher-than-average 9% charge, so it is a massive alternative to get the unit going. — Walder
Accidents: Commanders | Falcons
What to know for fantasy: Managers ought to mood expectations with regards to talent place gamers on the Commanders. The Falcons’ protection is permitting solely 3.8 yards per speeding try to opposing working backs. Atlanta’s protection additionally does a terrific job containing large receivers, giving up the sixth-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to the place. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Falcons are 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 video games. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Falcons 23, Commanders 19
Walder’s choose: Falcons 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: ATL, 58% (by a mean of two.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Rivera: No staff changes amid Commanders’ skid … Pitts trending in the right direction … Three reasons for Commanders’ Thursday night flop vs. Bears
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: MIA -13.5 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: Regardless of their 0-5 file, the Panthers’ aggressive protection has discovered some success this season in getting after opposing quarterbacks. Carolina has the fourth-highest sack charge within the NFL, coupled with the second-best third-down protection (29.8%). Nevertheless, the Panthers additionally personal by far the league’s worst anticipated factors allowed (EPA) when defending the run (minus-14.4) and can face a Dolphins offense that ranks second in EPA per rush (16.8). — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: The Dolphins will not high the 70 factors that they had earlier this 12 months towards Denver — however will high 50. The Carolina protection may very well be with out two of its secondary starters and probably three if cornerback Donte Jackson has a setback. Miami will get some assist from its protection with a landing towards a Panthers offense that surrendered 21 factors off turnovers final week in a 42-24 loss to the Lions. — David Newton
Stat to know: The Dolphins have 2,568 complete yards of offense this season, essentially the most by 5 video games in NFL historical past. Miami wants 489 extra Sunday to move the 2000 Rams (3,056) for many yards by six video games.
Matchup X issue: Excessive unexpected occasions. I am attempting to think about which participant goes to swing this recreation and, nicely, it is going to take greater than that. Wild climate? Weird fumble luck? Tua Tagovailoa waking up on the improper facet of the mattress? The Panthers would possibly want all three. — Walder
Accidents: Panthers | Dolphins
What to know for fantasy: Over the previous 4 video games, Panthers receiver Adam Thielen has averaged 11 targets. In three of these 4 video games, he scored 20 or extra fantasy factors. Thielen ought to be busy towards the Dolphins in a matchup the Panthers are prone to be taking part in from behind. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS this season. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Dolphins 42, Panthers 23
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 29, Panthers 12
FPI prediction: MIA, 87.6% (by a mean of 15.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: How Tagovailoa shaped the path of Young … With Achane on IR, Dolphins look to Mostert & Co. to fill the void … Burns vents over Panthers’ struggles in rebuilding year
1:46
Is the strain already on Bryce Younger to succeed?
Chuck Pagano, Pat McAfee and A.J. Hawk talk about Bryce Younger’s struggles early in his NFL profession.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: JAX -4 (45.5)
Storyline to observe: Minshew Mania returns to its birthplace. Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew spent his first two seasons with the Jaguars and went 7-13 as a starter in 2019-20 earlier than the workforce drafted Trevor Lawrence No. 1 total in 2021. The larger return, nonetheless, is Indy working again Jonathan Taylor to a bigger position. He has rushed for 522 yards and three touchdowns in 5 video games towards the Jaguars. The Jaguars’ protection has been excellent towards the run to this point, permitting 81.6 yards per recreation (ranked fifth within the NFL). That is the matchup that may decide the end result. — Mike DiRocco
Daring prediction: The Colts will rush for a mixed 200-plus yards after averaging 148 yards the previous 4 video games. This would be the second recreation with Taylor again on the sector, and coach Shane Steichen stated he intends to present Taylor an elevated position Sunday alongside veteran Zack Moss. The Colts are anticipated to lean closely on their working recreation, with beginning quarterback Anthony Richardson now on injured reserve and anticipated to miss four or more games due to a shoulder harm. — Stephen Holder
Stat to know: Lawrence has a 75 QBR (rating fourth within the NFL) and a 7.7% off-target share (second lowest within the NFL) towards zone protection this season. That is necessary as a result of the Colts use zone protection on the Tenth-highest charge within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Colts edge rusher Kwity Paye. He is taking part in reverse Jaguars rookie sort out Anton Harrison (70.1%), who has the worst move block win charge at sort out within the league. Paye has an opportunity to throw Lawrence off his recreation. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Colts’ protection has given up the ninth-most fantasy factors per recreation to large receivers. Calvin Ridley ought to be in fantasy lineups Sunday. He leads the Jaguars with 15.1 yards per reception. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Minshew is 8-14 ATS in his previous 22 begins. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Jaguars 28, Colts 23
Walder’s choose: Colts 23, Jaguars 21
FPI prediction: JAX, 65.5% (by a mean of 5.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Keeping Richardson healthy already a major issue for Colts … How the Jaguars dealt with travel fatigue in preparation for Colts
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: NO -1.5 (42.5)
Storyline to observe: Two strengths will conflict Sunday, because the Saints have allowed the sixth-lowest QBR (46.4), and their seven interceptions are tied for third most within the NFL. On the flip facet, Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is third in passing yards (1,461) and hasn’t thrown an interception in an NFL-record 186 passes. — DJ Bien-Aime
Daring prediction: The Saints will finish Stroud’s historic streak by giving him his first interception. They’ve already tied final season’s interception complete, and so they have an interception in 4 of 5 video games (and a turnover in all of them). With the Saints’ knack for forcing turnovers this season, it looks as if they may come out on high in that regard. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to know: New Orleans working again Alvin Kamara has 50 profession speeding touchdowns, two shy of tying Mark Ingram for essentially the most in Saints historical past. Kamara turned the Saints all-time chief in complete touchdowns (73) final week towards the Patriots, passing Marques Colston.
Matchup X issue: Saints proper sort out Ryan Ramczyk. He is among the finest tackles within the league, however he has a key project towards No. 3 total choose Will Anderson Jr. this week. Anderson hasn’t had a sack in 4 video games, however they’re coming, as he ranks fifth in move rush win charge at edge. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Texans’ protection permits the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs, and Kamara has scored 19 or extra fantasy factors in two consecutive video games. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Saints have gone underneath the entire in 11 straight video games, tied with the 2003 Payments for the longest such streak up to now 35 seasons. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Texans 20, Saints 17
Walder’s choose: Texans 27, Saints 17
FPI prediction: NO, 54.3% (by a mean of 1.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Could Saints’ stingy D be first to pick off Stroud? … Texans feel ‘very close’ to getting run game, Pierce on track … Moreau scores 1st TD since cancer diagnosis … Stroud sets record for passes without pick to start career
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: LV -3 (41.5)
Storyline to observe: The Patriots have been outscored by a mixed 72-3 up to now two video games. The Raiders’ protection has given up simply 13 factors up to now six quarters whereas forcing 4 turnovers in that span. But the teaching staffs are so intimately acquainted with one another, given so many New England ties on the Raiders’ workers, that current historical past ought to be thrown to the wind. — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: The Patriots, who’ve a league-low two takeaways, will match their season complete towards former Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who has thrown seven interceptions this season. In the meantime, Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson, who set the NFL file for area objectives of 50-plus yards final season (11) however is 0-for-2 on such makes an attempt this 12 months, will ship his first from lengthy vary in 2023. — Mike Reiss
Stat to know: Raiders coach Josh McDaniels is 2-0 towards Patriots coach Invoice Belichick. He seeks to affix Dave Wannstedt as the one coaches to defeat Belichick and the Patriots in every of their first three conferences.
Matchup X issue: Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby. All of us noticed what he can do Monday night time towards the Packers. In opposition to a weak Patriots offensive line, the prospect is ripe for a repeat efficiency. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Patriots large receivers rank close to the underside of the league with regards to creating separation, in keeping with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. New England’s offensive line additionally ranks thirtieth in move block win charge. It isn’t a terrific mixture for a struggling Patriots passing recreation. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS on brief relaxation underneath McDaniels, with all three video games going underneath the entire. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Raiders 17, Patriots 14
Walder’s choose: Patriots 15, Raiders 12
FPI prediction: LV, 55.6% (by a mean of two factors)
Matchup must-reads: Could fixing the Patriots’ offense include benching Jones? … Adams ‘glad to get that win’ vs. former Packers team … Is Adams satisfied? The star receiver opens up
1:42
Schefter joins McAfee to speak Belichick’s future with Patriots
Adam Schefter joins Pat McAfee to debate Invoice Belichick’s future with the Patriots. (edited)
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: LAR -7 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: With working again James Conner on injured reserve because of a knee injury, the Cardinals do not have one other again with greater than 48 speeding yards to this point. However the Rams’ rush protection ranks twenty fifth in DVOA and allowed 159 speeding yards to the Eagles in Week 5. — Sarah Barshop
Daring prediction: Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs will make up for Conner’s absence and have one of the best recreation of his profession. He’ll throw for greater than 300 yards and rush for no less than 100 towards a Rams protection that ranks sixteenth in opponent scoring (21.6 factors allowed per recreation) within the Cardinals’ second win of the season. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to know: Dobbs has thrown six passing touchdowns by his first 5 video games with the Cardinals. He wants 4 extra to tie Gary Hogeboom for essentially the most landing passes (10) by a participant’s first six video games with Arizona.
Matchup X issue: Cardinals working again Emari Demercado. With Conner injured, Demercado is perhaps the one to hold the workload in his absence. We all know the Cardinals will wish to run the ball, so he ought to play an enormous position on this recreation. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: Rams QB Matthew Stafford has averaged 290.2 passing yards per recreation and has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua as his high two receivers. By way of fantasy factors allowed per recreation, Arizona’s protection has allowed the seventh-most factors to large receivers and the third most to quarterbacks. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Rams are 5-0-1 ATS of their previous six video games following a loss. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Rams 28, Cardinals 21
Walder’s choose: Rams 27, Cardinals 14
FPI prediction: LAR, 72.7% (by a mean of 8.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: With Conner on IR, what’s next for Cardinals’ offense? … Nacua, Kupp tandem is a ‘champagne problem’ for Rams … First-quarter struggles keep putting Cardinals ‘behind the eight ball’ … McVay says Jefferson trade was best for both sides
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: PHI -7 (41)
Storyline to observe: This recreation options two of the most efficient working backs within the NFL — the Eagles’ D’Andre Swift (434 yards, fourth in speeding yards) and the Jets’ Breece Hall (387, sixth), who’s coming off a 177-yard gem in a win over the Broncos. The Jets’ probabilities of pulling off the upset — and their first-ever win over the Eagles — hinge on an enormous recreation from Corridor, who’s totally recovered from final season’s ACL surgery. — Wealthy Cimini
Daring prediction: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith will paved the way with 120-plus receiving yards. The Eagles’ talent gamers take turns dominating the stat sheet. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert have taken heart stage in current weeks. Coming off a one-catch outing towards the Rams, Smith will emerge as the point of interest to penetrate a Jets move protection that has restricted offenses to 206 passing yards per recreation and is tied for fourth within the NFL in interceptions (5). — Tim McManus
Stat to know: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has 55 rushes (essentially the most amongst QBs), 206 speeding yards (second most) and 4 touchdowns (tied for essentially the most) this season. He is dealing with the Jets who’ve allowed the second-most speeding yards to opposing QBs this season (163).
Matchup X issue: The Jets’ offensive line. Simply because it was beginning to determine issues out, the road misplaced its greatest participant in Alijah Vera-Tucker for the season. The group has its work reduce out for it towards the Eagles. It is a massive ask to guard Zach Wilson this week. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Jets are the one workforce within the league that averages extra yards per speeding play (5.4) than passing play (5.0). The Jets’ offensive line ranks thirteenth in run block win charge, which bodes nicely for Corridor. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Eagles are 12-0 outright and 11-1 ATS all-time towards the Jets, with six straight covers. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Eagles 31, Jets 17
Walder’s choose: Eagles 28, Jets 16
FPI prediction: PHI, 65.3% (by a mean of 5.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Rookie Carter already producing at historic pace … Jets vow to be ready for Eagles’ unique tush push formation … Hall comes full circle in showing NFL world he’s back
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: DET -3 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: The chief of the NFC North faces the chief of the NFC South. The Lions’ offense is on hearth, averaging 29.6 factors per recreation — fourth greatest within the league — whereas the Bucs boast one of many league’s stingiest purple zone defenses. The Bucs are holding opponents to a 27.3% effectivity score within the purple zone (second greatest), and opposing quarterbacks are finishing simply 33.3% of their passes within the purple zone, one of the best mark within the NFL. — Jenna Laine
Daring prediction: Lions working again David Montgomery will rush for 100-plus yards for a 3rd straight recreation. Tampa Bay’s rush protection isn’t any slouch, permitting simply 379 complete speeding yards on the season, however Montgomery is in a groove, and the Lions proceed to feed him. No Lions participant has rushed for 100 or extra yards in three consecutive video games since Corridor of Famer Barry Sanders (1998). — Eric Woodyard
Stat to know: The Buccaneers have allowed 4 sacks this season, which is the fewest allowed by the workforce by 4 video games since 2008 (additionally 4). The Lions have registered 14 sacks to this point this season, tied for 14th-most within the NFL.
Matchup X issue: Lions large receiver Jameson Williams. He had two receptions for two yards final week, however he performed 47% of the snaps. I may see him making a huge impact quickly. — Walder
Accidents: Lions | Buccaneers
What to know for fantasy: The one groups with extra speeding makes an attempt than the Lions (165) are the Eagles (179) and 49ers (173). However the Buccaneers’ protection has held its opponents to fewer than 80 speeding yards in three of 4 video games this season. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Lions are 27-12 ATS underneath coach Dan Campbell, one of the best file within the NFL in that span. They’re 4-1 ATS this season with three straight covers. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Lions 31, Buccaneers 27
Walder’s choose: Lions 35, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: DET, 55% (by a mean of 1.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Mosely tears ACL for second year in a row … Mayfield’s Bucs renaissance, and what’s next … Goff: Lions becoming ‘more mature team’ … Confident Bucs embracing Bowles era on both sides of ball
0:46
The important thing to Baker Mayfield’s turnaround with the Bucs
Marcus Spears says Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield is extra comfy and is taking part in free with fewer expectations this season.
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: BUF -14 (45)
Storyline to observe: This recreation represents an enormous bounce-back alternative for the Payments’ offense after a subpar efficiency towards the Jaguars — particularly for the bottom recreation. The Giants have given up 5.3 yards per rush (twenty ninth) and 6.3 yards per play (31) this season. A Payments offense that scored 37-plus factors in a three-game stretch earlier than Week 5 can be a problem for this Giants protection. — Alaina Getzenberg
Daring prediction: Giants RB Saquon Barkley will rush for 100-plus yards in his return from an ankle injury regardless of seeing fewer than 15 carries. This might sound inconceivable given the state of the Giants’ offensive line and Barkley’s observe file after getting back from ankle accidents. However the Giants’ line is healthier at run blocking than move blocking (certain, it is a low bar at this level), and Buffalo is beat up defensively. The Payments are permitting 134.0 speeding yards per recreation, twenty fifth within the NFL. Welcome again, Saquon! — Jordan Raanan
Stat to know: The Payments have used nickel protection on 95.8% of their performs this season, the best charge within the NFL. They’ve dominated opponents utilizing five-plus defensive backs, rating first in each touchdown-to-interception ratio and sack charge. The Giants, who battle towards defenses with five-plus defensive backs, rank final in these metrics.
Matchup X issue: Payments edge rusher Von Miller. He performed simply 23% of the snaps final week, however that presumably can be growing towards the Giants. And the Payments want the assistance, too, with DaQuan Jones now injured. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: New York’s protection has given up the fifth-most fantasy factors to working backs to this point this season. Do not be afraid to start out James Prepare dinner. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Giants are 0-5 ATS this season, the worst within the NFL. Final season, the Giants have been 13-4 ATS, one of the best mark within the NFL. Read more.
Moody’s choose: Payments 38, Giants 17
Walder’s choose: Payments 30, Giants 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 89.3% (by a mean of 17 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jones not worried neck injury is long-term issue … Bills have tough road ahead with defensive injuries piling up
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Spread: DAL -2.5 (51)
Storyline to observe: The Cowboys fired offensive coordinator Kellen Moore after final season’s divisional-round playoff loss, with coach Mike McCarthy taking on because the workforce’s offensive playcaller. The Chargers rapidly scooped up Moore after firing their coordinator, Joe Lombardi, and Moore has the Chargers among the many league’s greatest passing offenses. Now he’ll face his former workforce contemporary off the Cowboys’ 32-point loss to the 49ers, during which the Cowboys scored simply 10 factors. — Kris Rhim
Daring prediction: Cowboys QB Dak Prescott will throw for 300 yards. That is perhaps commonplace for a lot of quarterbacks, but it surely hasn’t been widespread for Prescott. In his previous 17 begins, he has one 300-yard recreation. The Chargers’ move protection has had an every-other-game really feel to this point, permitting 466 and 367 yards within the first and third video games. Perhaps the bye will assist Los Angeles, however Prescott may have an enormous night time. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: Over the previous three seasons, Herbert has been one of many league’s greatest QBs underneath strain, rating third in QBR (66.1), sixth in completion share (67.5%), second in passing yards (10,859), fifth in passing touchdowns (70) and third in sack charge when underneath strain (15.5%). The Cowboys lead the NFL in strain share over that very same span.
Matchup X issue: McCarthy. He needed offensive playcalling duties again, however to this point the outcomes have not been there. Dallas ranks simply fifteenth in EPA per play on that facet of the ball, with neither the passing recreation nor speeding recreation cracking the highest 10. — Walder
What to know for fantasy: The Cowboys’ protection ranks twenty fifth in run cease win charge (29.1%), whereas the Chargers’ offensive line ranks sixth in run block win charge (72.4%). For fantasy managers, L.A. working again Austin Ekeler‘s expected return comes at a good time. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS after a loss up to now two seasons and 9-1 ATS up to now three seasons (seven straight covers). Read more.
Moody’s choose: Chargers 27, Cowboys 17
Walder’s choose: Chargers 30, Cowboys 23
FPI prediction: LAC, 55.4% (by a mean of 1.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Cowboys’ D aims to rebound vs. Chargers … Ekeler: ‘99% chance’ of return vs. Cowboys … Jones still believes in Cowboys, Prescott after rout
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