Extra ITV Racing ideas and traits on Saturday at York and Ascot too on a bumper afternoon of horse racing. The ITV cameras are there exhibiting six races throughout the 2 venues, that embody the John Smith’s Cup (4:05) at York and the Summer time Mile at Ascot (3:35). Andy Newton is on-hand with the important thing big-race traits and his finest bets throughout each Ascot and York’s LIVE ITV races.
Plus, seize a £30 FREE BET with or friends at 888Sport (bet £10, get £30) to make use of on the LIVE ITV Racing from Newmarket this Saturday.
**TOP TIPPING** Final Saturday, Andy Newton had 4 winners (from 7) together with his ITV racing ideas – Nathanael Inexperienced (6/1), Free Wind (11/4), Sinjaari (7/2) & Vadeni (11/4)
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ITV Horse Racing Ideas On Saturday ninth July 2022
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York Horse Racing Developments and Ideas | Saturday ninth July 2022
1.45 – John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
10/10 – Aged between 3-6 years-old
10/10 – Ran within the final 4 weeks
9/10 – Gained over not less than 1m earlier than
9/10 – Gained between 2-4 occasions earlier than
8/10 – Carried 9st 1lb or extra in weight
8/10 – Completed 4th or higher final day out
8/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
8/10 – Drawn in stall 7 or decrease
7/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter within the betting
6/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Positioned favourites
5/10 – Had run on the observe earlier than
3/10 – Skilled by David O’Meara
2/10 – Profitable favourites
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Isla Kai has claims, as does Eilean Dubh, nevertheless it’s attention-grabbing that the David O’Meara yard have gained this race 3 occasions within the final 10 years and sends three to put up – BLUE FOR YOU (e/w) @ 15/2 with 888Sport, Younger Hearth and TAMMANI (e/w) @ 14/1 with 888Sport.
All three command respect, however 4 and 5 year-olds have a greater document within the race so their 7 year-old Younger Hearth is neglected.
Blue For You was an in depth third at Sandown final day out and is the choose of the yard’s primary jockey Danny Tudhope, whereas Adam Kirby rides Tammani, who didn’t get one of the best of runs at Donny final time, however earlier than that was a pleasant winner at Redcar.
2.20 – John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
16/16 – Had between 1 and three earlier runs that season
15/16 – Gained from stall 10 or decrease
14/16 – Aged 5 or youthful
13/16 – Didn’t win their earlier race
11/16 – Positioned favourites
9/16 – Aged 4 years-old
7/16 – Had run at York earlier than
7/16 – Ran at Ascot final day out
5/16 – Horses from stall 2 that completed second
4/16 – Profitable favourites
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Simply the three runners right here however they’ve all received a squeak. John Leeper will not be 8 races and not using a win and hasn’t fairly progresses as many thought he would when ninth within the Epsom Derby final 12 months.
He was additionally 1 3/4 lengths behind WITHOUT A FIGHT @ 10/11 with 888Sport final time right here and it may be extra of the identical once more, regardless of being 3lbs higher off. The choose is the top-rated within the area too and barring a blip when twelfth in Dubai three runs in the past, he’s received a really constant profile.
Thunderous makes up the trio and positively can’t be dominated out being a course winner too. However can also be now 8 races and not using a win, so not a straightforward horse to catch proper.
4.05 – John Smith’s Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
18/20 – Returned 20/1 or shorter within the betting
18/20 – Had gained over 1m1f or additional earlier than
17/20 – Aged 5 or youthful
14/20 – Had between 3-5 earlier runs already that season
13/20 – Got here from stall 9 or greater
13/20 – Returned 14/1 or shorter within the betting
13/20 – Carried 9-3 or much less
11/20 – High 4 end of their earlier race
11/20 – Aged 4 years-old
11/20 – Formally rated between 99-105
10/20 – Had run at York earlier than
6/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot final day out
3/20 – Gained by coach Richard Fahey
3/20 – Skilled by William Haggas
2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni (2 of final 9)
2/20 – Skilled by Andrew Balding (2 of the final 3)
2/20 – Profitable favourites (1 joint)
Since 1960 only one winner older than 6
9 of the final 11 winners aged 4 or 5
The typical profitable SP within the final 20 years is 12/1
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Tremendous aggressive as at all times, however there are some honest traits to assist. 17 of the final 20 winners had been aged 5 or youthful, which is unhealthy information for Caradoc, Intellogent and Cockalorum, who’re all 7 year-olds.
The William Haggas yard has gained 2 of the final 9 runnings so it’s no shock to see their Mahrajaan fashionable within the betting, however draw 5 may not be splendid.
The constant Anmaat is one other to notice, however does have 9-8 to hold, however ROGUE BEAR (e/w) @ 7/1 with 888Sport, who was solely simply denied right here at York final day out, ticks lots of containers with draw 14 a plus, his age (4) and a pleasant racing weight of 8-10. With 13 of the final 20 winners carriying 9-3 or much less and coming from stall 9 or greater.
He’s solely up 2lbs from that final run however connections have additionally freshened him up with 2 months off and this has regarded the goal since that final outing, when well-backed into favorite.
Of the remainder, the Andrew Balding yard have gained 2 of the final 3 runnings so their GOOD BIRTHDAY (e/w) @ 33/1 with 888Sport and ACHELOIS (e/w) @ 20/1 with 888Sport are the picks of these at larger costs. Good Birthday is a constant 6 year-old that has a pleasant attract 23 and solely has 8-11 to hold. Connections have additionally booked William Cox to journey to take off one other 3lbs, whereas he’s completed within the high 3 in 45% of his 31 races (5 wins).
Achelois ran too unhealthy to be true in a Listed race at Ayr final time so when you can forgive that run then based mostly on his second at Epsom the time earlier than can go nicely too. He’s additionally received the helpful Harry Davies on to say 5lbs and connections have additionally freshened him up with a number of months off.
4.40 – John Smith’s Metropolis Partitions Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
11/11 – Gained over 5f earlier than
10/11 – Raced within the final 4 weeks
9/11 – Rated between 101 and 111
9/11 – Positioned favourites
8/11 – Unplaced final day out
8/11 – Gained at York earlier than
7/11 – Had solely gained at Handicap class earlier than
6/10 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
6/11 – Gained by a neck or much less
4/11 – Ran at Ascot final day out
Winter Energy gained the race in 2021
Moss Gill gained the race in 2020
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: WINTER POWER @ 5/2 with 888Sport gained this race 12 months in the past and it must be extra of the identical this 12 months. This Tim Easterby-trained filly is the top-rated within the area but in addition will get in right here getting weight off many of the others (fillies’ allowance). She additionally landed the Nunthorpe right here final August and is now 3-from-3 from her final three runs right here at York.
Sure, she’s not fired since, however has been working in high races so again right into a Listed rce right here shall be simply the tonic.
Korker, Royal Acclaim and Caturra would be the ones to provide Winter Energy most to consider.
Ascot Horse Racing Developments and Ideas | Saturday ninth July 2022
3.00 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
Simply 8 earlier working
8/8 – Ran within the final 3 weeks
7/8 – Carried 8-10 or extra
7/8 – Had gained between 2-6 occasions
7/8 – Had gained over 5f earlier than
6/8 – Didn’t win final day out
6/8 – Returned between 7/1 and 14/1
6/8 – Aged between 4 and 6 years-old
4/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
4/8 – Got here from a double-figure stall
4/8 – Ran at Ascot final day out
The typical profitable SP within the final 7 runnings is 9/1
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: Many possibilities right here, together with the hat-trick searching for Burning Money, who’s up one other 4lbs, and the Hollie Doyle-ridden Tabdeed.
Corazon and the old-timers within the race Danzeno and Venturous are on honest marks, however the two I’m siding with are NOMADIC EMPIRE (e/w) @ 25/1 with 888Sport and LOVELY MANA (e/w) @ 9/1 with 888Sport.
The last-named has caught the attention in profitable her final two at Newcastle and Sandown – the final was a straightforward 2 1/4 size win. She’s up 8lbs for that win however Saffie Osborne is booked to journey and might declare 3lbs of that again.
Nomadic Empire is the opposite choice and really feel he can higher his ninth within the race final 12 months. He had each probability 12 months in the past a furlong out till fading however is one other 12 months older now and Jim Crowley can freshen issues up within the saddle.
3.35– Fred Cowley MBE Summer time Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV
14/14 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years-old
12/14 – Had gained over not less than a mile earlier than
12/14 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
11/14 – Positioned favourites
10/14 – Had raced at Ascot earlier than (2 gained)
10/14 – Aged both 4 or 6 years-old
9/14 – Earlier Group race winner
9/14 – Profitable favourites (final 9 favs have gained)
7/14 – Had gained not less than 4 occasions earlier than
6/14 – Aged 4 years-old
6/14 – Gained final day out
5/14 – Raced at Ascot final day out
3/14 – Had gained a Group 1 earlier than
10 of the final 12 winners had been attract stalls 5 or decrease
Coach William Haggas has gained 2 of the final 5 runnings
Coach Andrew Balding has gained 2 of the final 4 runnings
The typical profitable SP within the final 10 years is 11/2
SPORTSLENS BEST BETS: 12 of the final 14 winners had gained over not less than a mile in order that’s not good for each Tactical and Mutasaabeq, who’re but to document a win over this far.
CHINDIT @ 7/4 with 888Sport is the top-rated within the area and hasn’t been disgraced in working behind Baaeed the final twice in higher races. This Hannon runner will discover this barely simpler and it doesn’t look the strongest Group Two contest.
My Oberon and Fashionable Information had been first and second final time in a Listed race at Windsor so can get entangled too, however at an even bigger value an opportunity can also be taken on PEROTTO (e/w) @ 10/1 with 888Sport, who an in depth third in that very same Windsor race final time however is a course winner right here at Ascot and based mostly on that final run appears to be hitting peak type this season.
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Ascot Race Instances and Schedule: Saturday ninth July 2022
- 1:50 – British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (EBF Restricted Race Qual) (GBB Race) Cl4 (2yo) 7f SKY
- 2:25 – Hello-Pace Providers Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 1m6f SKY
- 3:00 – Betfred Heritage Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f ITV
- 3:35 – Fred Cowley MBE Memorial Summer time Mile Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV
- 4:10 – Magnum Traditional Ice Cream Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m4f SKY
- 4:45 – Village Motels Fillies’ Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-90) 1m SKY
- 5:20 – Ascot Sebastian’s Motion Belief Christmas In July Handicap Cl4 (3yo+ 0-85) 7f SKY
York Race Instances and Schedule: Saturday ninth July 2022
- 1:45 – John Smith’s Racing Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-100) 1m ITV
- 2:20 – John Smith’s Silver Cup Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV
- 2:55 – John Smith’s Stayers’ Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 2m½f RTV
- 3:30 – John Smith’s Nursery Handicap Cl4 (2yo 0-85) 6f RTV
- 4:05 – John Smith’s Cup Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV
- 4:40 – John Smith’s Metropolis Partitions Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (3yo+) 5f ITV
- 5:15 – John Smith’s Dash Handicap Cl4 (4yo+ 0-80) 6f RTV