Earlier than something drastic occurs, Irving should first make a decision on his $36.5 million player option by June 29. If he opts in, he can instantly get traded, even earlier than the beginning of free company. If he declines it, he can both re-sign with the Nets, signal with one other group, or be a part of one other group through a sign-and-trade.
The problem with opting out is that except for the Knicks and perhaps the Warmth, it is extremely unlikely Irving can get to any of his most popular groups whereas being correctly paid.
The Lakers, Clippers, Mavericks, and 76ers are already projected to be over the luxurious tax, and a sign-and-trade for Irving can be sophisticated to execute since it will be tough for them to assemble the remainder of the roster afterward. Any group that acquires a free agent through sign-and-trade will get hard-capped, and buying Irving would realistically put these groups means over the onerous cap.
The Knicks are looking to shed payroll to generate sufficient cap house to make Jalen Brunson a proposal, however they would want to generate much more to get to Irving’s most projected at $42.7 million. An indication-and-trade can be extra reasonable for the Knicks to amass Irving, which might require sending again $34 million to the Nets. A mix of Evan Fournier, Alec Burks, and Nerlens Noel can get to the matching salaries.
There’s a pathway for Miami to have the ability to purchase Irving in a sign-and-trade if wanted whereas filling out the roster beneath the onerous cap. A bundle of Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, and one minimal contract matches for Irving’s $42.7 million whereas leaving them simply over $22 million under the onerous cap with seven roster spots. That’s sufficient house to re-sign PJ Tucker to the utmost $8.4 million beginning wage Miami is allowed to present him whereas filling up the remainder of the roster with minimal contracts. Together with Duncan Robinson, or buying Irving by way of an opt-in-and-trade, would give Miami extra payroll flexibility, comparable to getting access to the mid-level exception.
If Irving opts in and is traded throughout free company, his 15 % commerce bonus can be value $5.5 million and would enhance his $36.9 wage to $42.4 million. If he opts in and is traded earlier than free company, that $5.5 million bonus can be distributed evenly to his 2021-22 and 2022-23 salaries. That might increase his wage subsequent season to $39.7 million. To simplify issues, groups should ship out not less than $30.4 million to match salaries for Irving if he’s traded earlier than free company, and $33.9 million if traded throughout.
The Lakers’ foremost path to Irving can be buying and selling Russell Westbrook. Their greatest drawback is their lack of property, which is proscribed to first-round picks in 2027 and 2029. It’s potential considered one of them could should be rerouted to a 3rd group to tackle Westbrook assuming Brooklyn has no real interest in him.
The Clippers are restricted to buying and selling a first-round choose in 2028 or 2029 however they’ve extra position gamers and younger gamers to supply. A mix of Marcus Morris, Norman Powell, Luke Kennard, Robert Covington, and Reggie Jackson can get there. They’ll additionally supply Terence Mann or Brandon Boston Jr. so as to add extra worth to their bundle.
The Mavericks have many alternative contracts they’ll use to get to the $30-34 million required to match for Irving, comparable to a mixture of Spencer Dinwiddie, Tim Hardaway Jr., Davis Bertans, and Dwight Powell. One of many extra inventive pathways they’ll do to get there’s a sign-and-trade that sends Brunson to Brooklyn or a 3rd group, although Base Yr Compensation would complicate that state of affairs. Dallas can supply as much as three future first-round picks in 2025 (first out there draft language), 2027, and 2029 to strengthen their supply.
The Sixers being on Irving’s checklist is perplexing contemplating the occasions that led to James Harden asking out of Brooklyn. Tobias Harris must return to match salaries, however lack any property apart from Tyrese Maxey and Matisse Thybulle after giving the Nets their remaining tradeable first-round picks for Harden.
It’s onerous to take this checklist too critically contemplating the quantity of hoops wanted to leap by way of to get Irving to any of those groups. This particularly rings true when contemplating that Irving’s different to attending to considered one of these groups can be by accepting the mid-level exception. That might imply a pay minimize that would attain as a lot as $30 million, and he wouldn’t have ample rights to re-sign for the utmost the next offseason.