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On Sunday Novak Djokovic will try and win his seventh trophy at Wimbledon. If he’s victorious within the Gents’s ultimate, he’ll tie Pete Sampras for the second most titles on the All England Membership. The one man with extra is Roger Federer whose received eight.
There’s nearly no probability that Federer will win one other Wimbledon. His final victory got here in 2017, his final ultimate in 2019, and this yr he was absent. In a single month, he’ll flip 41 and if he does play at Wimbledon once more it’s prone to be extra of a swan track than a professional contest.
Novak remains to be on the top of his profession and is on a 27-match win streak at Wimbledon. If he defeats Nick Kyrgios, it will likely be his 4th championship in a row. No different participant can problem him on grass in the mean time. At 35 it’s very potential he may surpass Federer’s document. Not solely is it potential, nevertheless it’s additionally virtually inevitable.
Ought to Novak maintain the document, the query turns into is he the perfect grass courtroom participant in historical past? First, is Federer presently the perfect grass courtroom participant in historical past? It’s arduous to quantify as a result of traditionally there have been many extra tournaments performed on grass. Even different grand slams was performed on grass.
The best approach to resolve is to give attention to the one event that has all through all time been the crown jewel of the lawns. Djokovic already holds the head-to-head edge 3-1 over Federer at Wimbledon. The three wins all got here within the 2014, 2015 and 2019 finals. Federer has misplaced 4 finals complete with the addition of the 2008 loss to Rafa Nadal. In the meantime, Djokovic solely misplaced one ultimate to Andy Murray in 2013.
Sampras went 7-0 in his Wimbledon finals and has the perfect event win share of the three. The profitable percentages are Sampras 90%, Djokovic 89%, and Federer 88%. All shut to 1 one other. On the finish of the day win percentages, head-to-head, and document in finals solely come into play if there’s a tie for essentially the most titles.
Everybody within the tennis world is aware of that grand slam titles are a very powerful metric of success. If Djokovic manages to win 9 and even ten or extra Wimbledon titles, there will probably be no query. These statistics matter provided that he finishes tied with Federer. If they’re tied, it’s additionally fairly clear that Djokovic nonetheless holds the sting except he instantly loses within the finals the following three years. Or the much more unlikely, Federer beats him twice and evens the head-to-head.
What this implies is that Novak is probably one win from being only one title away from the perfect Wimbledon participant and arguably finest grass courtroom participant in historical past…
He is a big favorite in opposition to Kyrgios who will probably be taking part in in his first main ultimate. To not point out Djokovic has not misplaced a match on Centre Court docket since that 2013 ultimate loss to Andy Murray. No offence to Kyrgios however he’s no Andy Murray.
There’ll at all times be debates on the perfect grass courtroom participant however there’s no debating Sunday’s ultimate will write tennis historical past.
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