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The Dodgers head into the offseason with fairly just a few questions looming about their 2023 roster. Trea Turner, Clayton Kershaw, Tyler Anderson, and Andrew Heaney (amongst others) are heading into free company, and the workforce has choices to make on whether or not to convey again Justin Turner (who has a $16 million workforce choice) and Cody Bellinger (a non-tender candidate heading into his remaining 12 months of wage arbitration).
Amongst these names talked about are three beginning pitchers and the man who acquired probably the most enjoying time at designated hitter for the Dodgers in 2022. Hmmmm, I’m wondering if there may be a strategy to fill a beginning pitcher gap and a DH gap with only one roster spot.
As luck would have it, simply throughout city — and I imply manner throughout city, the sort of “throughout city” you need to drive via eight different cites and swap counties to get to — there’s a beginning pitcher/DH who has just lately proven a wee little bit of dissatisfaction together with his present state of affairs.
Angels P/DH Shohei Ohtani returned house to Japan this week and, in his first interview, was crucial of Anaheim’s season (whereas diplomatically not naming the workforce particularly):
“I’ve to say that August and September specifically felt longer to me than final 12 months,” Ohtani stated, talking in Japanese. “We weren’t capable of play as many good video games as we want — together with 14 consecutive losses. So I’ve a slightly destructive impression of this season.”
Going into his final season earlier than free company, plainly Ohtani would possibly welcome a commerce to a workforce that’s extra more likely to play extra “good video games,” probably even into October.
So what would possibly a commerce between the Angels and Dodgers appear to be?
It wouldn’t be low cost for the Dodgers, that’s for positive. Ohtani will probably be making $30 million in 2023, and whereas usually a workforce whose proprietor is making an attempt to promote may be trying to shed that wage, Shohei is Anaheim’s prime advertising and marketing device as a workforce. In 2022, they did three totally different Ohtani bobblehead giveaways, plus an Ohtani tote bag, an Ohtani snow globe, an Ohtani t-shirt, and an Ohtani baseball cap. So the Angels received’t be as determined to shed the $30 million so some shedding groups may be.
The one factor which may make Ohtani extra reasonably priced is that it’s only one 12 months left earlier than free company, and the Angels by this level need to know they’re more likely to lose him for nothing a 12 months from now. BaseballTradeValues.com listed Ohtani’s median commerce worth at $52 million — which implies they’re estimating him to be value roughly $82 million in 2023, $52 million greater than his wage.
BaseballTradeValues can’t inform you the whole lot, although. In accordance with that website, Will Smith’s median commerce worth is $55 million, estimating him to be value $86.2 million over the remainder of his time with Los Angeles whereas being paid $31.2 million. So by that estimate, a straight-up Smith-for-Ohtani commerce is smart! No, the Angels wouldn’t try this commerce.
The Angels would nearly actually need a pitcher again within the commerce, so let’s begin with prime pitching prospect Bobby Miller. You then even have to exchange Ohtani’s bat; Anaheim has proven curiosity previously in prospect Andy Pages, and he’s solely gotten higher since then. After which, to sweeten the deal, let’s throw in one other prime pitching prospect, Ryan Pepiot.
On this commerce situation, the Dodgers are giving up their prime two pitching prospects and their fourth-best hitting prospect, numbers 2, 4, and 6 total of their system. The median commerce worth on these three guys provides as much as $68.1 million, about $16 million greater than Ohtani.
It’s an overpay on the Dodgers’ facet, however is it sufficient of an overpay for the Angels to chew? The Dodgers would possibly have to throw in one other lesser prospect or two so the Angels can promote the commerce to their fan base as high quality and amount. Jorbit Vivas and Michael Grove are each on L.A.’s 40-man roster with out a clear position going ahead, so together with them may kill two birds with one stone.
That brings our remaining proposal to a five-for-one commerce with the Angels receiving $74.2 million in commerce worth and the Dodgers receiving $52 million. I don’t know if that might get it executed, nevertheless it looks like it’d work.
What do you assume? What would you surrender for the Dodgers to get Ohtani?
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