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Thursday was a wild day of convention event motion, so between that, a postgame present after the IU recreation, and the truth that I’m underneath the climate, this gained’t get right into a ton of element. I might be scrubbing a number of sections of the bracket over the subsequent couple of days, which can probably result in some minor tweaks.
As for the bubble, many groups close to the lower line gained yesterday, which is sweet for them… however not for Indiana State. Based mostly on how issues are shaping up, a few deserving groups might be ignored.
Right here’s a fast refresher about how the NCAA choice committee classifies wins primarily based on the NET score:
· Quad 1: House vs. groups ranked 1-30 / Impartial vs. groups ranked 1-50 / Highway vs. groups ranked 1-75
· Quad 1A: House vs. groups ranked 1-15 / Impartial vs. groups ranked 1-25 / Highway vs. groups ranked 1-40
· Quad 2: House vs. groups ranked 31-75 / Impartial vs. groups ranked 51-100 / Highway vs. groups ranked 76-135
· Quad 3: House vs. groups ranked 76-160 / Impartial vs. groups ranked 101-200 / Highway vs. groups ranked 136-240
· Quad 4: House vs. groups ranked 161-351 / Impartial vs. groups ranked 201-351 / Highway vs. groups ranked 241-351
The Bracket
The projections beneath are primarily based on all video games performed by way of March 14, 2024. Following the bracket, I included some fast notes on the final 4 in and first 4 groups out.
| DETROIT (MIDWEST) | DALLAS (SOUTH) | |
| Indianapolis – March 22/24 | Memphis – March 22/24 | |
| 1) Purdue | 1) Houston | |
| 16) Norfolk St. / Wagner | 16) Longwood | |
| 8) Dayton |
8) Florida | |
| 9) Florida Atlantic | 9) Northwestern | |
| Spokane – March 22/24 | Omaha – March 21/23 | |
| 5) Utah State |
5) South Carolina | |
| 12) South Florida | 12) James Madison |
|
| 4) Alabama | 4) Duke | |
| 13) Samford | 13) VCU | |
| Pittsburgh – March 21/23 | Pittsburgh – March 21/23 | |
| 6) Nevada | 6) Clemson | |
| 11) Virginia | 11) New Mexico / St. John’s | |
| 3) Creighton | 3) Kentucky | |
| 14) Charleston | 14) Morehead State | |
| Memphis – March 22/24 | Indianapolis – March 22/24 | |
| 7) Gonzaga | 7) Washington State | |
| 10) Mississippi State | 10) Drake | |
| 2) Baylor | 2) Marquette | |
| 15) Sam Houston |
15) Quinnipiac | |
| LOS ANGELES (WEST) | BOSTON (EAST) | |
| Charlotte – March 21/23 | Brooklyn – March 22/24 | |
| 1) Tennessee | 1) Connecticut | |
| 16) Grambling / Montana St. | 16) Stetson | |
| 8) Texas | 8) Colorado State | |
| 9) Nebraska | 9) TCU | |
| Spokane – March 22/24 | Salt Lake Metropolis – March 21/23 | |
| 5) San Diego State | 5) BYU | |
| 12) McNeese State | 12) Grand Canyon | |
| 4) Kansas | 4) Auburn | |
| 13) Vermont | 13) UC Irvine | |
| Brooklyn – March 22/24 | Omaha – March 21/23 | |
| 6) Texas Tech | 6) Wisconsin | |
| 11) Seton Corridor / Texas A&M |
11) Princeton | |
| 3) Illinois | 3) Iowa State | |
| 14) Akron | 14) Oakland | |
| Salt Lake Metropolis – March 21/23 | Charlotte – March 21/23 | |
| 7) Saint Mary’s | 7) Boise State | |
| 10) Oklahoma | 10) Michigan State | |
| 2) Arizona | 2) North Carolina | |
| 15) South Dakota State | 15) Colgate |
Final 4 In:
• St. John’s: The predictive metrics are nice and the Purple Storm have 10 wins within the prime two quadrants. Then again, simply a type of wins is towards a group safely within the subject. Beating UConn in the present day would seal the deal, however they aren’t secure but.
• Seton Corridor: Whereas the Pirates have 5 Q1 victories, they’re simply 11-12 in non-This fall video games because of a comparatively poor non-conference power of schedule. They’re outdoors the highest 60 in three of the 4 group sheet metrics, although, so it will likely be an extended couple of days of ready.
• New Mexico: After beating Boise State early Friday morning, the Lobos now have six wins towards the sector, which is greater than most bubble groups can declare. Nonetheless, they’ve a This fall loss and a poor non-con SOS, however they’re twenty third within the NET as of in the present day.
• Texas A&M: The Aggies now have 5 Q3 losses after Memphis fell on Thursday and there isn’t a lot precedent for a group like that making the sector. On the identical time, they’re 12-8 within the prime two quadrants and challenged themselves within the non-conference.
First 4 Out:
• Colorado: The Buffs have nice metrics, however I wrestle to get previous the truth that they’ve only one win towards the sector (Washington State). They’re additionally 2-5 in Q1 and rank 261st in non-con SOS. They’re a group I need to take a more in-depth have a look at.
• Windfall: The Friars are a lot nearer to the lower line after beating Creighton. They’ve picked up 4 of their six wins over groups within the at-large subject or the primary 4 out after the Bryce Hopkins harm, so that ought to not be a significant speaking level. Windfall now has six Q1 victories, however they’re simply 9-12 in non-This fall video games.
• Indiana State: Between the chaos within the A-10 and different bubble groups profitable, Thursday didn’t go nicely for the Sycamores. Their lone Q1 win got here at Bradley and regardless that the metrics are good, I wrestle to see them making it now.
• Pittsburgh: The Panthers primarily knocked Wake out of the bubble image on Thursday. They’re now 9-8 within the prime two quadrants, however simply two wins are over groups within the at-large subject. A robust street file definitely helps, however they’ve two Q3 losses and rank 344th in non-con SOS.
Convention Breakdown:
Massive 12 (9): Baylor, BYU, Houston, Iowa St., Kansas, Oklahoma, TCU, Texas, Texas Tech
SEC (8): Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Kentucky, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas A&M
Massive Ten (6): Illinois, Michigan State, Nebraska, Northwestern, Purdue, Wisconsin
Mountain West (6): Boise State, Colorado St., Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, Utah State
Massive East (5): Connecticut, Creighton, Marquette, St. John’s, Seton Corridor
ACC (4): Clemson, Duke, North Carolina, Virginia
American (2): Florida Atlantic, South Florida
Atlantic 10 (2): Dayton, VCU
Pac-12 (2): Arizona, Washington State
West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s*
America East: Vermont
Atlantic Solar: Stetson*
Massive Sky: Montana State*
Massive South: Longwood*
Massive West: UC Irvine
Coastal: Charleston*
Convention USA: Sam Houston
Horizon: Oakland*
Ivy: Princeton
MAAC: Quinnipiac
MAC: Akron
MEAC: Norfolk State
Missouri Valley: Drake*
Northeast: Wagner*
Ohio Valley: Morehead State*
Patriot: Colgate*
Southern: Samford*
Southland: McNeese State*
SWAC: Grambling
Summit: South Dakota State*
Solar Belt: James Madison*
WAC: Grand Canyon
* – Automated Bid
Observe Andy on Twitter (@andybottoms) for extra ideas on faculty hoops and to obtain an replace each time new brackets are posted.
Filed to: 2023-2024 Bracketology
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