Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/23/23

2:00	Ben Clemens: Hey everybody, welcome to the brand new FanGraphs-colored chat

2:01	Ben Clemens: I’m Inexperienced Ben Clemens, changing Blue Ben Clemens, your outdated chat host

2:01	Ben Clemens: Let’s reply some baseball questions, beginning with one about board video games

2:01	Sharps: How fancy is simply too fancy for drinks and meals throughout a recreation night time?

2:01	Ben Clemens: This can be a query I’ve quite a lot of private expertise with. I’d say that there are two potential solutions. No quantity is simply too fancy for those who’re going to eat earlier than enjoying

2:02	Ben Clemens: If it’s an eat-and-play state of affairs, the primary factor to keep away from is liquid-y sauces and something that might offer you greasy fingers. There’s nothing much less nice than grease on a recreation piece or card

2:02	Ben Clemens: Pizza is an exception as a result of you may simply eat it like an affordable individual and never get greasy

2:02	Ben Clemens: However typically talking, no limitations for those who’re going to eat beforehand, and preserve it easy for those who’re going to eat throughout

2:03	Jeff in Jersey: I gained’t maintain you to it, however the largest bats obtainable on the deadline this yr are…..

2:03	Ben Clemens: Fascinating ones: Joc Pederson, Michael Conforto, and Rhys Hoskins if the Phillies are unexpectedly out of it

2:04	Ben Clemens: Plus, , Bryan Reynolds, Ohtani, the fellows who’ve been rumored to be on the block and we already know can bop

2:04	Insert Witty Title Right here: Good Q: Are you a smoothie man, and in that case, what’s your go to?

2:04	Ben Clemens: I’m not, however my spouse is so I get to reside vicariously. I’m an enormous fan of spinach, peanut butter, and banana

2:04	N. Hornblower: Do/ought to the Astros use a 6 man rotation once more with Hunter Brown as a starter?

2:04	Ben Clemens: I’d begin the season this fashion, sure

2:04	Cal: Given the choices (assuming Reynolds stays) what ought to NYY do in LF? Profar, Cabrera, Hicks, Kepler, not one of the above?

2:04	Ben Clemens: I like beginning with Cabrera

2:04	Ben Clemens: With the choice to pivot through trae

2:04	Matt: Do you suppose the Phillies signal Nola to an extension? What about Hoskins?

2:05	Ben Clemens: Talking of Hoskins! I don’t suppose he’s in line for an extension, however I feel the Phillies will pursue a Nola extension closely

2:05

Appa Yip Yip: I feel in all the joy over the December signing spree we forgot how interminable January would turn out to be I’m dying somewhat inside day by day and have turn out to be deeply invested within the free company final result of Robbie friggin Grossman. Is there a beginning job on the market for him or is he simply going to should chew the bullet and take the Jays cash to he their 4th OF?

2:05	Ben Clemens: That is possibly a foolish factor for a author from a baseball web site to say, however: I like that there’s no baseball information in January

2:06	Ben Clemens: I’m studying extra books. I’ve been working towards cooking with the wok I acquired for Christmas. I did 4 a great deal of laundry between yesterday and at this time and went snowboarding for every week

2:06	Ben Clemens: It’s form of good that I’m simply doing a bunch of stuff and after I come again, groups are principally the identical as they have been earlier than

2:06	Sharps: What type of ball participant do you want would make a resurgence in MLB?

2:06	Ben Clemens: both a)knuckleballers or b)left-handed catchers

2:07	Jon: Is NYY SS actually that dire? Don’t suppose its laborious to see 3+ wins from IKF, Volpe/Peraza

2:07	Ben Clemens: I imply, dire is within the eye of the beholder

2:08	Ben Clemens: I feel that IKF will not be a first-division starter, and I don’t suppose the error bars are that giant there

2:08	Ben Clemens: We’ve had quite a lot of information factors at this stage in his profession; he doesn’t have sufficient contact high quality to be a median hitter

2:09	Ben Clemens: So the query is mainly whether or not one of many two prospects will click on

2:10	Ben Clemens: I imply, possibly! However it could hardly be a shock for them to wrestle out of the gates and shortstop to look unhealthy because of this

2:10	Ben Clemens: Peraza hit .259/.329/.448 in Triple-A final yr, it’s not like he’s a can’t-miss bat

2:10	Hiya there: Are you the prospects man or the HOF man? Thanks..

2:11	Ben Clemens: Sadly neither

2:11

RTJ: I preferred your evaluation of the Marlins commerce final week. Possibly I’ve turn out to be too brainwashed by the obsession with baseball’s three true outcomes, nevertheless it actually did appear to be an odd commerce to me when it went via. For those who have been the Marlins, is there one other transfer you suppose would assist flip this commerce into one thing productive?

2:12

Ben Clemens: That’s a tough one… I don’t actually see how they’ll pivot with this one, as a result of it’s not as if they acquired a bunch of items to flip. I feel the very best factor they’ll do at this level is simply see how the reconstituted staff shakes out. Arraez’s expertise are greatest paired with both some high-OBP guys for him to advance together with his metric ton of singles, or nice hitters behind him to get to bat in excessive leverage conditions

2:13	Ben Clemens: So my suggestion, I suppose, is that the Marlins ought to go purchase extra superb hitters

2:13	Dalton Wilcox: I admire Lopez’s combo of well being and sturdiness, however in any other case isn’t Arreza’s skillset at the moment more durable to seek out?

2:14	Ben Clemens: Positive, there are fewer gamers like Arraez, however shortage doesn’t essentially equal worth

2:14	Ben Clemens: Good luck discovering one other participant like Javier Baez, for exmaple, or Tony Kemp

2:15

Oaktown Blues: Proper now, if everyone seems to be wholesome, the A’s could have Waldichuk, Muller, and Sears in AAA. In addition they have stated they plan to stretch out AJ Puk to start out. Given this, ought to the A’s be trying to commerce Irvin or Blackburn to permit some younger auditions? Or am I underestimating attrition?

2:15	Ben Clemens: I feel you’re both underestimating attrition or overestimating prospect certainty

2:15	Ben Clemens: These items are inclined to work out

2:15	CB: Unpopular opinion: Jordan Walker is 20 and will chill/polish in AAA for his personal good for a couple of months (and never simply due to the staff management advantages).

2:16	Ben Clemens: I don’t thikn that’s a very unpopular opinion. I feel he’ll have his probabilities to play within the majors this yr, nevertheless it’s not like there’s an apparent place for him to play to the place it’s prison to maintain him down

2:16	Ben Clemens: It could be one factor if an harm opened up a gap within the lineup or one of many presumptive regulars was a whole black gap offensively

2:17	Ben Clemens: However now we have Alec Burleson and Nolan Gorman driving the bench within the majors proper now, and Juan Yepez batting eighth for them

2:17	Ben Clemens: I’m skeptical how a lot of an improve Walker can be ex ante, with out seeing how he develops this yr

2:17	Security Stegosaurus: The place’d you ski?

2:18	Ben Clemens: Whistler. Overcast situations all week, and the visibility was typically terrible (fog banks), nevertheless it snowed a ton and I had a good time

2:18	Ryan: Do you suppose the Padres lock up Machado on a second contract earlier than he opts out?

2:18	Ben Clemens: I do. I feel they’ll do a Kershaw sort deal the place he tears up the choose out in trade for some kicker

2:18	Oaktown Blues: Who’s your favourite rapper?

2:19

Ben Clemens: Ooh, good query. I’d like to go along with some ridiculous indy suggestion, and I actually do like Watsky greater than he’s common, however he’s not my favourite rapper. All time I’d say it’s most likely BIG, I like Jay-Z so much (not now however , when he was good), and Run the Jewels will get an honorable point out

2:19	Ben Clemens: I noticed Massive Boi in live performance at a music pageant and he was AMAZING, top-of-the-line reside reveals I’ve ever been to

2:20	Steve: Wins are prone to be few and much between, however what do you count on out of Gore this yr?

2:20	Ben Clemens: I’ll be expecting his fastball command

2:20	Ben Clemens: I feel that his scattershot location was holding him again in ’22, and it’s humorous as a result of I assumed he can be good at that earlier than his complete misplaced 2021 season factor

2:20	New UK fan: Beloved the piece on charges and contract size. Any considering on choice valuation in participant contracts? Appears to me that isn’t properly understood by followers

2:21	Ben Clemens: Excellent news, I wrote one thing about this some time in the past after I first began writing right here, and there’s even some Python code in it if you wish to attempt it out your self

2:21	Ben Clemens: It’s participant choices solely, I ought to possibly do one on staff choices as properly

2:22	CB: Nootbaar’s identify appears to be developing in quite a lot of rumors. For those who have been the Cardinals, what sort of return would it’s a must to think about (a la Arraez)?

2:23	Ben Clemens: I’d want him to be the centerpiece for a star controllable pitcher

2:23	Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose that’s very possible; the Cardinals FO appear to be they’re as excessive on Nootbaar as I’m (ludicrously excessive)

2:23	Gross Man: Why the colour change? Simply branding/aesthetics?

2:24	Massive Fan: How nervous ought to Atlanta followers be with Vaughn Grissom beginning the yr at SS? He began the yr in A+ final yr and it appears very rushed.

2:24	Ben Clemens: I’d be nervous for certain

2:25	Ben Clemens: He seemed fairly overmatched in September. The Braves have been seemingly down on him as a starter, they have been utilizing Orlando Arcia as an alternative

2:25	Ben Clemens: So like…. huh?

2:26	FV: Shortage doesn’t equal worth: this also needs to be stated of left handed starters.

2:26	Ben Clemens: Oh for certain. I don’t suppose I’d add a lot in any respect to Lopez’s worth for being lefty

2:26	Ben Clemens: He’s only a man who throws bulk innings with a sub-4 ERA, which is efficacious interval

2:26	RTJ: Is the Pink Sox entrance workplace flipping a coin every time they go to make a transaction that tells them whether or not to spend cash or dump wage?

2:26	Ben Clemens: I like this idea

2:26	Ben Clemens: Wheel. Of. Pink Sox!!!!!!!!

2:27	comish4lif: In case you are not the prospects man or the HOF man… which man are you?

2:27	Ben Clemens: I’d say I’m the brand new man, however that’s not likely true anymore, and hasn’t been for some time. I assume I’m the economics man? Dan’s the numbers man on this formulation

2:27	FV: I didn’t imply you have been implying that Lopez’s worth was elevated as a lefty. I simply hear announcers speak about this fashion an excessive amount of.

2:27	Ben Clemens: Oh yeah 100%!

2:27	Oaktown Blues: Re: Jay Z, his most up-to-date solo album 4:44 was truly actually good! Would suggest for those who have been a fan of his older stuff. No ID on the beats

2:27	Kiermaier’s Piercing Inexperienced Eyes: Haters say Jay fell off. How, Ben, his final album was 4:44? (Enjoyable reality, Jay-Z ghostwrote Nonetheless D.R.E.)

2:28	Ben Clemens: To be truthful, I haven’t listened to 4:44 very a lot so possibly I’m low on him

2:29	Ben Clemens: There are simply too many “hello I’m Jay-Z I’m wealthy listed below are songs about how wealthy and comfortable I’m” visitor spots in rotation

2:29

Oaktown Blues: Ought to I be dropping religion within the A’s FO? The e book is much from closed on the rebuilding trades they’ve made thus far, however the early returns are fairly tough, with solely Langeliers wanting like an impression participant. Is Esteury Ruiz gonna flip into Rickey Henderson and make me look silly for doubting? Does Billy Beane have one other 2012-like miracle season in him?

2:30

Ben Clemens: I really feel like I’m taking loopy capsules with the Oakland entrance workplace. We all know they’re good at discovering worth in methods we don’t count on, and it’s occurred earlier than. May it occur once more? I imply, I’m certain, however I don’t see it. I’m with you, I’m fairly down on the latest returns

2:30	hebrew: I’m asking everybody at this time: Are you able to assist me remedy the logjam I’ve in Ottoneu? commonplace 5×5 league, yr 5 so some fairly hefty inflation (35%+) Reduce/Hold: Gleyber ($13) Polanco ($11) McMahon ($6) Kolten Wong ($5) Bryson Stott ($6) (Carlos Correa is my solely SS)

2:30	Ben Clemens: So take this with a grain of salt, as a result of I suck at Ottoneu

2:32	Ben Clemens: I feel I’d be most involved in Gleyber and Stott

2:32	Ben Clemens: eh possibly McMahon as properly

2:32	Ben Clemens: I don’t suppose Wong performs notably properly in 5×5, and I’m simply kinda down on Polanco, maybe wrongly so

2:32	Oaktown Blues: Do you suppose both of Nick Allen or Christian Pache will ever hit sufficient for a full time position within the bigs?

2:32	Ben Clemens: Allen sure, Pache no

2:33	Ben Clemens: I like Allen’s base skillset extra, basically

2:33	Ben Clemens: as a hitter — I feel they’re each nice defenders

2:33

Telemachus: Do you suppose the Rays can be open to buying and selling Yandy Diaz? Would a Keston Hiura + Adrian Houser (or Eric Lauer) bundle entice them? Diaz would deliver stability to the Brewers lineup and his robust OBP and excessive contact strategy would assist set the desk within the two spot behind Yelich.

2:33	Ben Clemens: Eh, for the fitting return, however I don’t suppose that might do it

2:33	Ben Clemens: I feel I’m lastly giving up on Houser

2:34	Ben Clemens: He’s 29 and I’ve had him as a breakout candidate for 4 straight years

2:34	Ben Clemens: eh, possibly 3.5 straight yeras

2:34	DH solely: Is Franimal carried out? Haven’t heard any information on him. Have you ever?

2:34	Ben Clemens: I haven’t, however I feel he’ll discover a job someplace regardless

2:34	A Boy Named Yu: Was Caleb Killian’s debut stretch final yr so unhealthy that he’s off the radar now as a rotation piece?

2:35	Ben Clemens: Not for me, although clearly his star has dimmed

2:37	Ben Clemens: I’m extra fearful by his management issues in Triple-A, fairly frankly

2:37	Ben Clemens: He’s throwing a lot more durable now however hasn’t been capable of harness his outdated command

2:37	Ben Clemens: He was carving guys up within the low 90s, now he’s mid-90s and struggling to find

2:38	Ben Clemens: Let’s give it a minute to see if he can bridge the 2

2:38	Rusty Trombone: You will not be the prospects man or the HOF man, however fwiw, I’d nonetheless somewhat learn your chats any day, palms down.

2:38	Ben Clemens:

2:38	Marco Scutaro: I noticed what Benintendi acquired in free company for being a slap hitter. I want I performed in at this time’s recreation so I might have gotten paid. 🙁

2:39	Ben Clemens: Humorous, I simply noticed Benintendi in an article I’m writing that options some slap hitters

2:39	Ben Clemens: And I assumed yep, meaning the statistic I’m utilizing is working

2:39	Jamzy: I’m taking a look at making my first journey to the Bay space this Might. Brewers are on the town towards the Giants and the A’s host the Rangers. Do I’m going to a recreation in Oakland or simply hit 3 at Oracle?

2:39	Ben Clemens: it will depend on whether or not you’d get a deGrom begin, imo

2:39	Ben Clemens: Additionally relies upon the place you’re staying

2:39	Ben Clemens: Oracle is nice, and Oakland is worse now that the staff is in full ‘we dare you to come back to a recreation’ mode

2:40	Ben Clemens: However I LOVE watching deGrom begins, he may be the starter I’ve seen reside most ceaselessly

2:40	Invoice: You actually acquired the Pablo/Arráez commerce incorrect. Pablo was considerably worse in response to WARin 2022 and Trevor Rogers was by no means out of the rotation.

2:40	Ben Clemens: Effectively, I disagree clearly

2:40

Visitor: Curious to listen to what you concentrate on Dylan Carlson at this level. I’m not bought on him being a plus CF, however I feel he can most likely keep there adequately for the close to future. His batting has me fairly involved at this level although. His stroll and strikeout charges are each trending properly, however his low EV has me dimming on the hopes he is usually a persistently above common hitter

2:40	Ben Clemens: Yeah, star dimming for my part

2:40	Ben Clemens: Seems to be like Nootbaar is who I assumed Carlson was

2:41

tortycraig: fairly please, need assistance like our pal hebrew – Conserving 8 of 10 in Roto 5×5 OBP Public sale Draft League – price financial savings for Lindor over Turner make sense to you? Gausman in for anybody beneath?

Depart

T. Turner (44)
Gausman (15)

Hold

Lindor (15)
Jose Ramirez (47)
Julio Rodriguez (20)
Mullins (8)
Robert (8)
Rutschman (6)
Stop (15)
Helsley (6)

2:41	Ben Clemens: Seems to be broadly proper to me. I assume it dpeends on what you’d count on Turner to go for with inflation?

2:41	Ben Clemens: However I’m often a fan of attempting to maintain low-cost guys even when they’re barely worse after which simply overpay for stars

2:41	Uncle Spike: Are you able to clarify the distinction between the ‘Plate Self-discipline’ and ‘Pitch Information Plate Self-discipline’ numbers that seem on participant pages?

2:42	Ben Clemens: It’s mainly simply completely different sources for the information. The large distinction is in how pitches on the fringes of the zone get outlined as both in or out of zone

2:42	Ben Clemens: Like, it’s all the identical swings and whatnot, however the way you acquire information on the zone borders by pitch will not be completely constant

2:43	Snow Burrow: Because you’re not the prospects or the HOF man, I’ll ask you a query involving each. For those who had twenty bucks you needed to guess on which of Andrew Painter and Eury Perez was extra prone to in the future grace the Corridor, who you bought?

2:43	Ben Clemens: I’d slam Painter regardless of the uphill climb that starters face today

2:43	Baseball fan: If a AAA staff had 5 wholesome Degroms all season, would they end over .500?

2:43	Ben Clemens: It’d be shut

2:43	Ben Clemens: I feel WAR math would inform you they’d be RIGHT round .500

2:44	Izzy: Does Luis Urias have any shot at being a 4 win participant? Are there any additional gears to his offense or protection? Or is that this who he’s?

2:44	Ben Clemens: He does, no less than in my Urias-loving eyes

2:45	Ben Clemens: I feel he’s discovered his lane as a walks and pull energy man

2:46	Ben Clemens: He’s by no means going to be a high shelf energy risk however I feel his sense of the zone offers him a robust base to construct off of

2:46	Ben Clemens: I’m much less certain about his protection, however I feel he might spike an awesome season for certain

2:47

RTJ: I’m shifting from LA to Chicago this spring. I don’t have robust attachments to any groups (typically have adopted the Dodgers whereas I’ve been residing in LA, however initially from the Northeast anyway). So inform me: Who do I give my, primarily disloyal, allegiance to: Sox or Cubs? And why?

2:47	Ben Clemens: I’m going to provide you a solution that may make you suppose I’m a bandwagon fan

2:47	Ben Clemens: That’s handy, as a result of I’m all-in on the Purdywagon today after beforehand not caring concerning the Niners a lot

2:47	Ben Clemens: I’d begin with the White Sox however be very fickle about it

2:48	Ben Clemens: For those who’re shifting to a metropolis, you’re essentially a latest addition to the fanbase, it’s extra about current enjoyable being excessive than your enjoyable being enhanced by heat fuzzy recollections

2:48	Ben Clemens: So simply persist with whoever is extra enjoyable and see for those who type some recollections to really feel heat and fuzzy about

2:49

Liam: What’s the foremost perpetrator within the differing talents of participant growth groups inside an org? It looks as if we’ve reached the purpose the place each staff ought to be roughly doing the identical factor and getting the identical outcomes however the dodgers and astros are nonetheless lightyears forward of most others – cash? philosophical consistency? different?

2:49	Ben Clemens: I feel it’s each figuring out useful expertise to show and educating them, and I disgree that each staff is kind of doing the identical factor, and even that all of them agree on what that factor ought to be

2:50	Ben Clemens: It additionally helps to be extra constant, run a greater group with extra cohesion between completely different staff, all that boring how-too-run-a-good-team stuff

2:50	comish4lif: Wasn’t Luis Urias projected to a batting title winner when he was within the minors? Now a profession 239 hitters within the Majors.

2:50	Ben Clemens: He’s had a really unusual arc

2:51	Ben Clemens: He was a no energy dude developing, then in 2018 he hit Triple-A and began placing out twice as typically as he ever had earlier than but in addition doubled his ISO

2:51	Ben Clemens: then in 2019 he doubled it AGAIN within the minors, as much as .285, and got here into the majors as extra of a fly ball huge swings man

2:52	Ben Clemens: I’d say his actual carrying instruments are bat management and pitch choice; it’s not typically you see somebody who can give you GB/FB ratios within the 2-3 vary after which simply transition to the 1-1.5 vary

2:52

Felix the Puss: Effectively, I’m comfortable that Dayton Moore FINALLY acquired fired, however not satisfied that his very long time accomplice in crime Picollo shall be any higher. I imply, JJ ran one of many absolute worst participant growth packages in skilled sports activities over the past decade and a half. Is there something constructive you may say concerning the Royals to ease my thoughts?

2:53	Ben Clemens: The Royals have been to extra World Sequence than the Cardinals within the final ten years

2:53	Rodney: Is Brett Baty the Mets’ 3B come playoff time? Batting fifth behind Alonso – or seventh behind McNeil/Canha?

2:55	Ben Clemens: I’m skeptical of his capacity to stay at third, which supplies me some hesitation

2:55	Ben Clemens: the man can hit, although

2:55	Mets fan: Why is Ronny Mauricio falling rapidly in prospect rankings in comparison with Elly De La Cruz? The tales don’t appear THAT completely different

2:56

Ben Clemens: I’ve not carried out a deep dive on both of those guys, so I’m simply working off the cuff. However uh, their trajectories don’t look that much like me. DLC is sort of a full yr youthful and simply spent a yr shredding Hello-A after which Double-A (admittedly with regarding strikeout numbers)

2:56	Ben Clemens: Mauricio didn’t present the identical form of uncooked, and I’m most likely equally fearful about their approahces

2:57	Ben Clemens: I don’t actually know, it’s most likely extra of an Eric query, however they don’t appear that equal to me

2:58	Nick: The gang-sourcing took Sheffield however not ManRam for the Corridor of Fame. Is there a rationale right here? Sheffield appears to have worse numbers and has PED issues identical to Manny.

2:59	Ben Clemens: The apparent distinction is that Sheffield was by no means suspended for utilizing PED’s

2:59

Kvn: It looks as if there have been a pair excessive profile prospects final couple years which have hit all the way in which up till they should do it towards MLB velocity after which they cant get on high of the ball (e.g. Kieboom, Hiura). I really feel like there ought to be some technique to display for this, however possibly groups simply weren’t wanting earlier than? I really feel like there needs to be some inefficiency right here to take advantage of.

3:00	Ben Clemens: I actually don’t suppose that’s the story with Hiura, for what it’s price

3:00	Ben Clemens: He’d at all times had quite a lot of swing and miss to his recreation

3:00	Ben Clemens: He was wonderful in his MLB debut regardless of a 31% strikeout price

3:01	Ben Clemens: Like, for those who learn prospect stories from the time, I feel you may roughly predict the form of profession that he’s had in mixture

3:01	Jeremy: What are some unexplored areas of baseball you suppose have extra predictive energy than individuals have been capable of show thus far?

3:01	Ben Clemens: I’m gonna take the lazy one and say pitch calling

3:01	Tstats: How did you greenify Jotcast??

3:01	Ben Clemens: We simply hit the inexperienced button. Undoubtedly ought to have carried out it some time in the past, huh?

3:01

Izzy: To RTJ… I’m saying this as a Cubs fan… initially welcome to our nice metropolis!!! I’d suggest going to each parks. The fanbases are very completely different. It is going to be clear to you which ones one you favor. You may take pleasure in each as a fan, otherwise you may give your coronary heart to at least one, however not each.

3:01	Ben Clemens: I feel that’s a great way to place it

3:01	Datt Mamon: How possible do you suppose a Ketel Marte bounceback is that this season?

3:02	Ben Clemens: To elaborate qualitatively, I purchase it. I like what he does. I’m not THAT involved by the BABIP

3:02	Armadillofury: What do you consider the Marlins choice to maneuver Jazz to CF.? He had a tough time staying wholesome at 2B, so CF gained’t assist proper?

3:03	Ben Clemens: Yeah, I see why they’re attempting it nevertheless it’s a reasonably large danger for my part

3:04	Ben Clemens: I don’t actually purchase the Dee Gordon comparisons, they’re very several types of athletes, although the parallels are definitely amusing, however I feel that with a man like Jazz, it is best to focus as a lot as potential as simply getting his bat on the sphere

3:04	Ben Clemens: He’s so dynamic

3:04	Ben Clemens: Having him study a brand new place, and possibly not be nice at it proper off the bat, notably a place with robust bodily calls for, is bizarre to me

3:04	Ben Clemens: It’d be one factor if he have been a pure outfielder or if he have been a fringier bat

3:05	Ben Clemens: However I don’t know the way you have a look at Jazz and suppose ‘let’s have him study a tricky place on the fly, that’s how we’ll get worth from him on our staff’

3:05	Ben Clemens: you get worth from him slugging the ball to Boca Raton

3:05	Baseball Fan: Re: Jazz – at this level are you able to argue there’s extra positional shortage in cf than SS? If Jazz’s bat is legit, I feel he most likely has extra worth as a probably elite CF, proper?

3:06	Ben Clemens: For those who’re not attempting to win this yr, nice. For those who suppose he can turn out to be an elite CF in a yr, nice. However he was an All Star 2b, I simply wouldn’t wish to tinker a lot

3:06	Appa Yip Yip: The opposite factor about Jazz is that his waffle cone gloves look extraordinarily cool

3:06	Ben Clemens: Individuals who say baseball isn’t cool have clearly by no means seen Jazz Chisholm play

3:06	Michael Wacha: How did Jordan Lyles receives a commission, and I’m nonetheless searching for work?

3:06	Ben Clemens: I assume it’s only a state of affairs the place nobody got here in with a contract Wacha likes early, so now he’s ready for a staff to have an surprising want

3:06	Buttcheex: If the Brewers are 10+ video games out of the WC on the ASB, do you see them tearing down this core or attempting to reload round Burnes/Woodruff/Adames/Contreras core?

3:07	Ben Clemens: I feel they’ll look to maneuver one of many two pitchers

3:08	Ben Clemens: I hope they simply compete, although

3:08	Ben Clemens: Milwaukee is a really enjoyable sports activities metropolis, they deserve a contender

3:08

New UK fan: Choices article was nice too. Could be attention-grabbing to see it prolonged a) with completely different assumptions for participant volatility (as you identified, pitchers are completely different however presumably even some place participant archetypes are too); b) for staff choices. For b), it at all times appears to me that they make extra sense than participant choices since utility might be ~Log(cash) for gamers vs linear for groups

3:08	Ben Clemens: Yeha, I agree on this and I’ll most likely do a staff choices factor within the subsequent month now that I’ve remembered it’s attention-grabbing

3:10

Roger: In 5 years, the very best shortstop within the majors shall be enjoying for (A) the Reds, (B) a staff to which the Reds traded Elly de la Cruz as a result of he was too costly even in his arb years, or (C) a staff having nothing to do with the Reds as a result of I’m a Reds fan desperately dreaming on a prospect as a result of the low season has in any other case been so bleak?

3:10	Ben Clemens: I feel C is almost certainly by far, clearly

3:10	Ben Clemens: However I’d take A over B, if that cheers you up

3:10	Appa Yip Yip: Is Keirmaier/Varsho/Springer the very best defensive OF within the recreation? The Jays protection basically looks as if it will be superb. Bichette is fringy at brief however they’ve plus to plus plus defenders all over the place else.

3:11	Ben Clemens: I feel that some configurations of the Yankees could have one thing to say about that. Hicks/Bader/Choose is a very good group

3:11	Ben Clemens: DBacks too, some form of Carroll/Thomas configuration sounds nice to me

3:12	Ben Clemens: and Buxton places the Twins within the conversatoin by himself

3:12	Insert Witty Title Right here: Which Cruz would you somewhat have, Elly or Oneil?

3:12	Ben Clemens: I’d take Oneil, I’m simply in love with the potential

3:12	Joey Votto: Do I’ve one final bang in me?

3:12	Ben Clemens: There’s acquired to be a greater technique to say this

3:12	Ben Clemens: And I’m gonna be a grinch and say no 🙁

3:12	Buttcheex: Shopping for or promoting Andrew Vaughn taking the subsequent step to impression middle-of-the-order bat?

3:12	Ben Clemens: Shopping for! My love for Vaughn is abiding

3:13	A Boy Named Yu: What do you count on from Seiya Suzuki this yr? Was final yr it or is there extra to come back?

3:13	Ben Clemens: I feel there’s extra to come back

3:13	Ben Clemens: haha see I targeted so little on it that I acquired it fully incorrect!

3:14	A Boy Named Yu: Does it make extra sense to only preserve Madrigal for now in case your the Cubs? His market is low proper now and he has minor league choices nonetheless. No have to power a commerce proper now.

3:14	Ben Clemens: Yeah I thikn I’d preserve him and simply see what occurs

3:14	HOF: Excluding roid stuff, was there somebody whose profession you thought was positively going to take them to the HOF however then they fell aside too early?

3:15	Ben Clemens: Stanton, actually

3:15	Ben Clemens: Carl Crawford most likely doesn’t cross the road for me, I by no means actually thought he’d be a corridor of famer

3:16	Ben Clemens: on the pitching aspect, Chris Sale stands out to me

3:16	Ben Clemens: and this isn’t fairly the identical class however Ben Sheets

3:16	FV: Relating to Madrigal, don’t all gamers take a few years to recuperate from wrist accidents and regain their offense?

3:17	Ben Clemens: It varies, however yeah, I’d give him a little bit of a go, although he was already displaying regarding ML points pre-injury

3:17	FV: Higher profession: Vaughn or Tork?

3:17	Ben Clemens: Vaughn for me however I feel that’s a minority opinion

3:17

Pkpkpk: Which 2021-2022 free agent do you suppose misplaced essentially the most cash in comparison with what he would have gotten as a 2022-2023 free agent? I’m assuming Correa due to the wonky ankle stuff however I preserve coming again to Dansby Swanson one way or the other getting more cash than Freddie Freeman

3:18	Ben Clemens: yeah it’s Correa. I feel Dansby acquired greater than he would have within the earlier yr, and that Freeman acquired lower than he would have this yr, however not by sufficient to offset Correa’s drop if that is smart

3:18	Gabe: Ideas on Nolan Gorman, long-term?

3:18	Ben Clemens: I dunno, I’m kinda skeptical

3:18	Ben Clemens: All my statistical fashions have at all times been iffy, for no matter that’s price (not a lot)

3:18	Ben Clemens: after which I by no means fully purchased in to the attention check with him

3:19	Ben Clemens: It simply seems like he wants quite a lot of issues to go proper to be a severely constructive contributor given the form of the Playing cards roster