A Look at the Defenses of the Postseason Teams

Extremes in protection had been on show because the Wild Card spherical kicked off on Tuesday afternoon. Within the Rangers-Rays opener, Texas left fielder Evan Carter laid out for a fantastic catch of an Isaac Paredes line drive within the first inning, starter Jordan Montgomery dove to make a formidable snag of Jose Siri’s popped-up bunt within the second, and Josh Jung made a pleasant seize on Manuel Margot’s mushy liner within the seventh. On the opposite aspect, Siri’s day from hell continued as he missed catching Corey Seager’s wall-banging double within the fifth, then deflected and briefly misplaced management of a Seager bloop earlier than airmailing it over third base within the sixth, costing the Rays a run. And distress loves firm — his Rays teammates made three extra errors of their 4-0 loss.

In the meantime in Minnesota, middle fielder Michael A. Taylor made a pair of outstanding catches, and Carlos Correa saved a run within the fourth by fielding a dribbler that had gone beneath third baseman Jorge Polanco’s glove, making a sidearm throw dwelling whereas on the run to maintain Bo Bichette from scoring.

And that was only one afternoon! After a day through which nice performs and errors helped push 4 groups to inside one lack of elimination, it feels price revisiting my two-part series from late June, highlighting one of the best and worst crew defenses primarily based on the alphabet soup of superior metrics.

I set out to take a look at crew protection by aggregating a handful of the foremost defensive metrics, specifically Defensive Runs Saved, Final Zone Score, our catcher framing metric (hereafter abbreviated as FRM, as it’s on our stat pages), and Statcast’s Runs Prevented (which I’ll name Runs Above Common as a result of their website and ours use the abbreviation RAA) and catching metrics for framing, blocking, and throwing (which I’ll mix into the abbreviation CRAA, and abbreviate individually as StatF, StatB, and StatT). These metrics replicate differing methodologies and produce various spreads in runs from prime to backside that owe one thing to what they don’t measure, in addition to how a lot regression is constructed into their programs. Pitchers don’t have UZRs or RAAs, for instance, catching numbers are set off in their very own classes fairly than included in UZR and RAA, and DRSs have a tendency to supply essentially the most excessive scores. I’ve accounted for the various spreads from prime to backside, which vary from 162 runs in DRS (from 82 to -80) to 44 runs in CRAA (from 16 to -28), through the use of normal deviation scores (z-scores), which measure what number of normal deviations every crew is from the foremost league common in every class.

This isn’t a bulletproof methodology a lot as a very good level of entry right into a broad matter. By this methodology, the Rangers price because the majors’ third-best defensive crew, behind the Brewers and Blue Jays, whereas the Rays had been under common, and price among the many weakest defenses nonetheless enjoying in October. Beneath are the rankings, which you’ll type by any of the columns; you’ll be able to see the precise run values for all however the Statcast catching metrics here (the Statcast catching aggregates for people are here, however there’s no crew web page for them):

Whaddaya know? The highest 5 groups by this technique are all within the playoffs, although under that, the connection is fairly unfastened. The underside 10 groups within the rankings embrace three postseason individuals, whereas the center 10 embrace the opposite 4. Eight of the 12 playoff groups are above common by this methodology (although one simply barely), and the common rating for the 12 October groups is 1.64.

What follows are some highlights and lowlights concerning every crew, expressed in run values fairly than z-scores. I’m nicely conscious of how noisy a single season of defensive metrics may be, notably when the pattern is only some hundred innings, so I’m attempting to generalize right here with out declaring each single outlier — although a few of them are price peeping if just for conversational functions. I’ve additionally tried to notice the place gamers unlikely to issue into the postseason have had an outsized impact on the numbers.

Brewers

The Brew Crew dominated our superior statistics leaderboard, main the majors with 34 RAA and 39.2 UZR, rating second with 66 DRS and 20.2 FRM, and fifth with 11 runs through CRAA, all of which helped the crew stop a serious league-low 3.99 runs per sport. Newcomer William Contreras ranked fourth within the majors with 14.1 FRM, second baseman Brice Turang and shortstop Willy Adames had been each superb, and Carlos Santana was a pleasant late-season addition at first base. The outfield led the majors in each DRS and UZR, and regardless of who performed middle discipline — Joey Wiemer, Sal Frelick, Garrett Mitchell (not lively for the WCS), or Blake Perkins — they had been typically distinctive.

Blue Jays

The Jays led the majors with 82 DRS, with middle fielders Kevin Kiermaier and Daulton Varsho every totaling 18 (the latter in simply 462.1 innings), catcher Alejandro Kirk 17, third baseman Matt Chapman 11, and Varsho one other 11 in left discipline. Kirk’s robust framing numbers apart, Statcast and UZR weren’t practically as eager on the crew, although the aforementioned middle fielders mixed for 21 RAA. Proper fielder George Springer and shortstop Bo Bichette had been each typically above common, however second base (Whit Merrifield, Cavan Biggio and others) was one thing of a weak spot, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was a multitude by each RAA (an enormous league-worst -10) and DRS (-6).

Rangers

Second baseman Marcus Semien, the one previous Gold Glove winner of the bunch, was the defensive star, with 16 DRS, 10 RAA, and 5.8 UZR, however he had loads of assist. Proper fielder Adolis García’s elite throwing arm powered him to robust scores in DRS (7) and UZR (6.8). Shortstop Corey Seager, utilityman Josh Smith, and catcher Jonah Heim all had at the very least 5 DRS, with Heim rating fourth within the majors with 13 CRAA as nicely, pushed by robust framing numbers. Middle fielder Leody Taveras was above-average in all three metrics, and Josh Jung was superb by UZR and RAA.

Diamondbacks

Destructive framing numbers for Gabriel Moreno and his backups — a mixed -10.4 FRM and -8 StatF — created a little bit of a gulf between the Diamondbacks, who had been in any other case nicely above common throughout the board, and the highest three groups. Moreno had 20 DRS and eight CRAA due to his blocking and throwing, so it’s not like Arizona’s catching was all unhealthy. First baseman Christian Walker led the majors with 9 RAA and ranked second with 9 DRS, whereas left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was second in each DRS and UZR (14 and 9.5, respectively), and middle fielder Alek Thomas was 3–5 runs above common throughout the board.

Orioles

Possible AL Rookie of the Yr Gunnar Henderson was distinctive in roughly equal time at shortstop and third base, combining for 14 DRS and 12.3 UZR, although he was simply common in accordance with RAA. Certainly, whereas the crew fared nicely through DRS and UZR, they had been under common in accordance with RAA, with second baseman Adam Frazier (-11) and third baseman Ramón Urías (-7) scoring notably badly there however nearer to common and even above it by the opposite two. Their outfield protection was typically a plus, with Cedric Mullins and Austin Hays each at 7 DRS, with 6 RAA for the previous and 6.6 UZR for the latter, plus common work by the third metric; Anthony Santander was nearer to common, although Aaron Hicks was decidedly subpar throughout the board together with his time with the Yankees. Adley Rutschman was nicely above common in framing (6.8 FRM, 5 StatF) however about common by different measures.

Dodgers

The Dodgers had been third within the majors with 59 DRS, led by shortstop Miguel Rojas (12), catcher Will Smith (12), multipositional MVP candidate Mookie Betts (10, together with 7 at second base and three in proper discipline), and left fielder David Peralta (7). Different metrics weren’t practically as excessive on them, and even DRS disliked Freddie Freeman (-8) — how might anybody dislike Freddie Freeman? — although he was a pair runs above common by different metrics. The crew’s outfield protection ranked among the many prime half-dozen throughout the board, with middle fielder James Outman‘s 8 RAA the shiniest quantity; he confirmed nice in-season enchancment on the place. Weighing their rating down is middling framing by Smith and backup Austin Barnes, Max Muncy‘s tough exhibiting on the sizzling nook (-7.7 UZR, -5 RAA, -3 DRS), and since-demoted second baseman Miguel Vargas’s work afield.

Braves

Their offense was elite, however their protection was under common save for the catching, the place Sean Murphy was robust throughout the board (13 CRAA, 8 DRS, 6.8 FRM) and Travis d’Arnaud was stable. Shortstop Orlando Arcia put up a few ugly numbers (-6.3 UZR, -6 DRS) and second baseman Ozzie Albies had one (-7 RAA), although different metrics noticed them as average-ish. As with the Dodgers, the crew’s totals within the massive three are weighed down by an absent participant, on this case shortstop Vaughn Grissom. Throughout the board, the numbers actually didn’t love the in any other case spectacular Ronald Acuña Jr. (-8 RAA, -3.3 UZR, -3 DRS), a big consider his leaving the door ajar within the NL MVP race.

Twins

The closest to common of the groups right here within the combination, the Twins did nicely in DRS and framing (Christian Vázquez had 7.9 FRM and 4 Statcast) however had been barely subpar in the remaining. Michael A. Taylor, who put up double-digit defensive valuations in his two years in Kansas Metropolis, didn’t price as excessive right here (7 RAA, 5 DRS, 2.8 UZR), however as he confirmed on Tuesday, he can completely go get it. Carlos Correa was barely within the crimson throughout the board for the primary time in his profession, probably resulting from enjoying by a bout of plantar fasciitis. No one was obviously unhealthy anyplace by a number of metrics, although in small samples Kyle Farmer at shortstop, Jose Miranda at third base, and Donovan Solano at first — none of that are prone to be common occurrences this October — weren’t nice by at the very least one measure.

Rays

They might not probably have been as unhealthy as they regarded on Tuesday, however shortstop Wander Franco, their finest defender by far, is on administrative go away, and substitute Taylor Walls (who made one of many crew’s 4 errors on Tuesday) is merely stable. On the opposite aspect of the coin, Brandon Lowe rated as their worst defensive infielder however he’s out as nicely, although rookie Curtis Mead’s scouting grades (30 PV/35 FV) don’t encourage confidence. Jose Siri was significantly better defensively than he confirmed on Tuesday (9 RAA, 2.8 UZR, 0 DRS), although the outfield is in any other case a blended bag, with Manuel Margot and Randy Arozarena every barely under common in two metrics, and Josh Lowe and Luke Raley barely above in two. René Pinto, who made a throwing error on Tuesday, charges as a significantly better defender than the since-outrighted Francisco Mejía.

Astros

For as a lot because the crew loves his work with pitchers, Martín Maldonado‘s defensive numbers (-10 DRS, -15 FRM, -16 CRAA) had been completely brutal, however the remaining nets out round common, not that there aren’t extremes. Their middle fielders (Jake Meyers, Chas McCormick, and Mauricio Dubón) had been distinctive, and shortstop Jeremy Peña and third baseman Alex Bregman had been typically above common, however Jose Altuve’s DRS was in double-digit detrimental territory for the second 12 months in a row (-13) regardless of lacking the season’s first seven weeks; his different metrics weren’t so excessive.

Marlins

Catcher Nick Fortes was a plus (6 DRS, 5.8 FRM, 4 CRAA), however in any other case the Marlins grade out as a barely under common defensive crew. Jazz Chisholm Jr. was tough in his first 12 months in middle discipline (-9 DRS, -3.5 UZR, 4 RAA), Bryan De La Cruz was even worse in left (-9 DRS, -7 RAA, -2.2 UZR), and Jorge Soler is finest appreciated with no glove. Their shortstops (Jon Berti and Joey Wendle) had been fairly good, and their third basemen (Jake Burger and Berti) acceptable, an enormous enchancment upon the since-traded Jean Segura.

Phillies

We’ve been speaking concerning the Phillies’ wretched protection since they signed Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos in March 2022, and neither of them is getting higher. Schwarber’s -20 DRS and -17 RAA in left discipline and Castellanos’ -13.3 UZR in proper had been the worst of their respective metrics at any place, and each fared badly within the different ones. Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Alec Bohm had been each brutal by DRS (-10 and -9, respectively) however inside a couple of runs above common through the opposite numbers. Catcher J.T. Realmuto was the majors’ third-worst framer by each FRM (-12.4) and StatF (-12). Fortunately, second baseman Bryson Stott was distinctive throughout the board (12 RAA, 7 DRS, 4.9 UZR), and middle fielder Johan Rojas put up a ridiculous 14 DRS in simply 392 innings in middle discipline whereas making a very good exhibiting by different metrics. Talking of smaller samples, Bryce Harper was principally common throughout the board in 303 innings at first base, a totally new place for him — and one which has opened up the DH slot for Schwarbe to occupy with a lot larger frequency recently.