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Quick-rising Mild Heavyweight contender, Jamahal Hill, seems to be to step into title competition this Saturday (Aug. 6, 2022) when he takes on damaging veteran, Thiago Santos, inside UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. UFC Vegas 59 additionally includes a conflict of Welterweight knockout artists in Vicente Luque and Geoff Neal, in addition to The Final Fighter (TUF) 30 Heavyweight and Flyweight closing matches.
The cardboard’s free to look at on ESPN in the US (it also streams on ESPN+), however that doesn’t imply we are able to’t get cash concerned. Let’s dig in …
What Went Fallacious at UFC 277?
Man, some real heartbreakers there. Don’Story Mayes was in complete management of his battle with Hamdy Abdelwahab earlier than giving up a essential takedown, and whereas Matthew Semelsberger wound up getting dominated by the very best Alex Morono I’ve ever seen, he acquired my hopes painfully excessive with that flying knee within the third. Oh, effectively! Not less than Drew Dober and Magomed Ankalaev received with authority.
UFC Vegas 59 Odds For The Beneath Card:
Michal Oleksiejczuk (-600) vs. Sam Alvey (+450)
Bryan Battle (-245) vs. Takashi Sato (+205)
Terrance McKinney (-850) vs. Erick Gonzalez (+600)
Josh Quinlan (-215) vs. Jason Witt (+185)
Cory McKenna (-225) vs. Miranda Granger (+190)
Stephanie Egger (-120) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (EVEN)
Ideas: The -200s appear like the very best bargains right here, specifically Bryan Battle, Josh Quinlan and Cory McKenna.
I truthfully consider Battle ought to keep at Middleweight. His motion and output are his greatest property, they usually’re going to be much less efficient in opposition to smaller, extra agile males. It’s not like he was getting out-muscled at 185 kilos if his win over Andre Petroski was something to go by. Nonetheless, he has a transparent edge in top, attain and quantity that ought to serve him effectively in opposition to Sato, plus a number of the grappling chops that Sato has struggled with of late.
Jason Witt is way from helpless on this match up, as Quinlan’s takedown protection will be hit-or-miss and he struggles off the again foot. That mentioned, Quinlan has an enormous edge on the ft, boasts strong cardio, and is adept at getting again to his ft.
He’ll have loads of alternatives to knock Witt’s block off and I totally anticipate him to capitalize.
Beneath extraordinary circumstances, I’d avoid betting on McKenna, who’s badly underwhelmed in her two UFC appearances. I simply actually like her probabilities in opposition to Granger as a result of “Hazard” struggled with Ashley Yoder’s restricted takedown arsenal in her most up-to-date look, and McKenna at the least has the abilities to recreate these efforts.
UFC Vegas 59 Odds For The Principal Card:
Jamahal Hill (-265) vs. Thiago Santos (+225)
Vicente Luque (-180) vs. Geoff Neal (+155)
Zac Pauga (-240) vs. Mohammed Usman (+200)
Juliana Miller (-125) vs. Brogan Walker (+105)
Serghei Spivac (-245) vs. Augusto Sakai (+205)
Ariane Lipski (-175) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+150)
Ideas: There’s lots to love right here, specifically Jamahal Hill, Vicente Luque, Zac Pauga and Ariane Lipski.
Thiago Santos has only a few benefits in Saturday’s fundamental occasion exterior of one-shot energy, and it’s not like Corridor can’t dish out the damage himself. “Candy Desires” is taller, rangier, youthful, sooner and a significantly better mover than the growing older “Marreta,” to not point out the red-hot momentum he has for the time being. That’s to not say Santos can’t flip again the clock, simply that it’s lots much less doubtless than Hill working circles round him.
Geoff Neal seems to have hit a wall of late. He didn’t make any crucial changes in opposition to “Wonderboy” Thompson, was painfully inactive in opposition to Neil Magny, and wasn’t notably spectacular in opposition to Santiago Ponzinibbio. Luque is flexible and highly effective sufficient to take him aside, particularly when mixed with “The Silent Murderer’s” top-notch sturdiness. It might get bushy, however Luque has all the fitting instruments to win this. Parlay him with the 2 large favorites on the undercard, Michal Oleksiejczuk and Terrance McKinney, to nudge him into the positives.
The one factor Mohammed Usman has going for him in his TUF finals match with Zac Pauga is measurement … and that’s not adequate. Pauga’s boxing is way crisper and sooner than Usman’s, and regardless of “The Motor’s” final title, he’s not a lot of a wrestling menace. Pauga seems to be like a UFC-worthy expertise, whereas Usman benefitted from his two opponents in the home having zero urgency.
That is about as excellent a match up for Ariane Lipski as she might have requested for. She’s acquired large benefits in velocity, approach and energy on the ft. And Priscila Cachoeira isn’t going to have the ability to zombie-walk by this stage of firepower. Plus, Cachoeira is ill-equipped to use the grappling deficiencies which have dogged the “Queen of Violence” up to now. It’ll be a slugfest, and Lipski is extra fearsome in these than Cachoeira.
UFC Vegas 59 Greatest Bets:
- Parlay — Zac Pauga and Ariane Lipski: Guess $120 to make $147.60
- Parlay — Michal Oleksiejczuk, Terrance McKinney and Vicente Luque: Guess $100 to make $103
- Parlay — Josh Quinlan and Jamahal Hill: Guess $100 to make $102
- Parlay — Bryan Battle and Cory McKenna: Guess $120 to make $123.60
There’s some severe violence potential in these high two bouts, plus some sleeper hits scattered all through. UFC Vegas 59 seems to be like a strong free “Combat Night time” to me — see you Saturday, Maniacs.
Preliminary Funding For 2022: $600
Present Whole: $722.99
Do not forget that MMAmania.com will ship LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow protection of your complete UFC Vegas 59 battle card proper here, beginning with the ESPN/ESPN+ “Prelims” matches, that are scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET, then the remaining fundamental card stability (on ESPN/ESPN+) at 10 p.m. ET.
To take a look at the newest and biggest UFC Vegas 59: “Hill vs. Santos” information and notes you’ll want to hit up our complete occasion archive right here.
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