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The Irish Oaks 2022 is likely one of the standout horse races this Saturday (sixteenth July) from the Curragh racecourse, and all eyes might be on the Frankie Dettori-ridden Emily Upjohn as she appears to go one higher than her second within the English Oaks final month. Andy Newton takes a have a look at the most recent betting, every horses likelihood of successful and the primary 2022 Irish Oaks tendencies.
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What Time Is The 2022 Irish Oaks?
🕙Time: 3:45pm (UK time)
📅Date: Saturday sixteenth July 2022
🏇Racecourse: Curragh Races
💰 Winner: €285,000
📺 TV: RacingTV/ITV
DID YOU KNOW? 14 of the final 19 Irish Oaks winners returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting.
Irish Oaks Traits and Stats
Assist discover the winner of this Saturday’s 2022 Irish Oaks on the Curragh utilizing our key tendencies and stats
- 18/19 – Raced throughout the final 6 weeks
- 17/19 – Completed 1st or 2nd final trip
- 15/19 – Got here from the highest 3 within the betting
- 14/19 – Returned 9/2 or shorter within the betting
- 14/19 – Gained final trip
- 13/19 – Had received between 1-2 occasions earlier than
- 12/19 – Positioned favourites
- 11/19 – Gained over 1m4f earlier than
- 9/19 – Gained by a UK-based coach
- 9/19 – Ran within the Epsom Oaks final trip
- 8/19 – Successful distance, 3 lengths or extra
- 7/19 – Had received a Group One earlier than
- 7/19 – Successful favourites
- 6/19 – Skilled by Aidan O’Brien
- 6/19 – Gained the Epsom Oaks final trip
- 4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in whole)
- 2/19 – Skilled by John Gosden (2 of the final 5)
- The common successful SP within the final 19 years is 9/2
Emily Upjohn Our 2022 Irish Oaks Tip
Okay, no prizes right here for attempting to be too intelligent – nevertheless it’s laborious to see past the red-hot Irish Oaks favorite – EMILY UPJOHN @ 1/2 with BoyleSports
She fluffed her traces in the beginning of the Epsom Oaks final trip – shedding many lengths because of this – and ultimately that value her the race. Sure, she nonetheless ran a blinder to solely lose a shorthead behind Tuesday, however with out that begin to the race she’ll certainly be heading to the Curragh this weekend nonetheless unbeaten.
Previous to the Epsom run, she bolted up within the Musidora Stakes at York and has received three of her 4 begins. Frankie and Gosden are additionally no strangers to focusing on the Irish Oaks – successful this Group One collectively in 2019 with Star Catcher and Allow in 2017, whereas Frankie has 5 wins within the contest and wishes only one extra to equal Johnny Murtagh because the winning-most jockeys.
She’s additionally had a pleasant 43 day break since that final run at Epsom, with connections not getting drawn into Royal Ascot and even the Irish Derby that Tuesday ran in. Subsequently, she’ll be brisker than most right here and is anticipated to get again to successful methods. She will see off Royal Ascot (Ribbelsdale) scorer – Magical Lagoon, who appears the primary hazard for her to take care of.
BACK EMILY UPJOHN @ 4/9 with BoyleSports
Aidian O’Brien Has 6 Irish Oaks Wins To His Identify
Coach Aidan O’Brien has received the Irish Oaks six occasions and wishes only one extra win to carry the report outright as essentially the most profitable coach on this Group One.
He’s in all probability not obtained as sturdy a hand as he usually has together with his Epsom Oaks winner – Tuesday – now a non-runner, so might be counting on Historical past, Emily Dickinson and Toy.
Historical past is bound to draw some each-way gamers as she was solely overwhelmed 3 1/4 lengths behind Magical Lagoon within the Ribblesdale, whereas Emily Dickinson was a detailed second over 1m6f final trip within the G3 Stanerra Stakes at Leopardstown, so we all know she stays additional than this 1m4f journey.
It’s fascinating although that their major jockey – Ryan Moore – has determined to journey TOY @ 20/1 with BoyleSports. Because of this this 3 year-old Galileo filly has are available for a little bit of help, however barring a win over 7f at Cork again in April she’s but to set the world alight.
She was final seen being effectively overwhelmed in France within the Prix de Diane Longines, however Moore, who has received the Irish Oaks twice previously, should really feel there’s extra to come back and if all 8 remaining Irish Oaks runenrs stand their floor this one is bound to draw the each-way worth hunters.
Irish Oaks Finest Outsiders
I’ve already talked about the O’Brien runners, however different of curiosity of the biggest-priced runenrs is the Ger Lyons-trained CAIRDE GO DEO @ 16/1 with BoyleSports.
Cairde Go Deo will get the nod as one of the best outsider. She’s clearly on the up after wins at Navan and Leopardstown in Listed races and we all know she stays this journey effectively with these successes coming over 1m5f and 1m4f.
Sure, she’ll want to enhance once more now upped to the highest desk, however has been successful her races from the entrance beneath jockey Colin Keane and would possibly simply be capable to run the end out of a few of these with comparable techniques. Add in that she’s been freshened up with 44 days off and that she’s additionally a confirmed course winner (7f), then of these at larger costs she appears essentially the most fascinating.
Favourites Have A 37% Strike-rate In The Final 19 Runnings
The primary key pattern in favour of Emily Upjohn is that we’ve seen 37% of the final 19 Irish Oaks winners go in. That’s 7 of the final 19 market leaders being profitable and three within the final 10 runnings, together with 12 months in the past with the short-priced Snowfall successful.
Frankie Dettori Has Gained The Irish Oaks 5 Instances and Twice For Gosden
As talked about, Dettori has a high-quality report through the years within the Irish Oaks – successful the Group One prize 5 occasions and twice in recent times for coach John Gosden. His first win was again in 2001 with Lailano for Ed Dunlop and has since added Classic Tipple (2003), Blue Bunting (2011), Allow (2017) and Star Catcher (2019).
Frankie wants another Irish Oaks winner to equal the haul of 6 wins Johnny Murtagh has.
47% Of The Final 19 Irish Oaks Winners Ran In The Epsom Oaks
The ultimate key stat in favour of Emily Upjohn, is that 9 of the final 19 Irish Oaks winners additionally ran within the Epsom Oaks earlier that season (47%). Snowfall backed this pattern up 12 months in the past too.
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Irish Oaks 2022 Newest Betting, Runners and Likelihood Of Successful
All odds right as of 08:27 BST on Fri, 15 July and topic to vary
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Irish Oaks Latest Winners
- 2021 – SNOWFALL (2/7 fav)
- 2020 – EVEN SO (10/1)
- 2019 – STAR CATCHER (7/2)
- 2018 – SEA OF CLASS (11/4)
- 2017 – ENABLE (2/5 fav)
- 2016 – SEVENTH HEAVEN (14/1)
- 2015 – COVERT LOVE (7/1)
- 2014 – BRACELET (10/1)
- 2013 – CHICQUITA (9/2)
- 2012 – GREAT HEAVENS (5/4 fav)
Watch Snowfall Successful The 2021 Irish Oaks
2022 Curragh Race Instances and Schedule | Sat sixteenth July
- 1:30 – Juddmonte Farms Knowledgeable Eye Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (2yo) 7f RTV
- 2:03 – Jebel Ali Racecourse And Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) (2yo) 6½f RTE1
- 2:35 – Paddy Energy Scurry Handicap (Premier Handicap) (3yo+) 6½f RTE1
- 3:10 – Barberstown Fort Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+) 5f RTE1
- 3:45 – Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (Fillies) (3yo) 1m4f ITV
- 4:20 – Kildare Village Girls Derby Handicap (4yo+) 1m4f RTE1
- 4:50 – DMG Media Nursery Handicap (2yo) 6f RTV
- 5:25 – TaxAssist Accountants Kildare-South Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (3yo+) 1m RTV
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