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How might the Seattle Seahawks probably get any worse?
Vegas appears to suppose they’ll, as do a scattering of media personalities that received all excited in regards to the Arizona Cardinals drafting 142 gamers in April.
The present Over/Below betting line for the Seahawks is 7.5 wins. They’re guaranteeing Seattle will likely be worse than 2023, you’re simply meant to decide on by how a lot.
Even covert nationwide followers bailed on Seattle this Spring.
Colin Cowherd now says the Seahawks are “utterly below the radar” and could win 10 games.
Per week into Seattle Seahawks coaching camp has given us continued intel on a number of parts of this 12 months’s roster, the teaching workers, and a few key indicators in regards to the 2024 squad’s outlook.
There’s far an excessive amount of unknown to say loopy issues like “Seattle will catch the San Francisco 49ers and I simply guess the automobile on it.”
However some issues may be stated, and I say regression is unlikely, nay, unfathomable, for 3 causes.
1) Consideration to element
It’s the whole lot from taking down the basketball hoop to his newest “begin quick” quote, Mike Macdonald is simply not like Pete Carroll.
Hypothesis was that Macdonald was the consummate trainer, and that a lot of his workers is as effectively. They have been rumored to be good, communication-oriented and detail-specific coaches, and that continues to be the reviews popping out of camp.
This stands out as a result of for years and years we’ve spent our time discussing whether or not Pete Carroll’s motivation and vibes and perception in gamers – which appeared to incessantly preserve guys out of hassle or get essentially the most out of them – outweighed the shortage of self-discipline and lack of in-game administration that unfolded on Sundays.
The Seahawks have been the fifth-most penalized staff last season, practically equivalent in 2022. Pete Carroll’s current groups have usually been the most important offenders when it comes to missed tackles, and the 4th-down and timeout conversations on this web site alone might fill a e book.
Now we are able to’t communicate in any way as to if Macdonald can reduce it when it comes to motivation and longevity of NFL athlete management, however whenever you hear him communicate you possibly can inform that he’s not going to return to the rostrum for the sixth consecutive week and say “we simply didn’t execute.” They’ll work on these items, they’ll tackle these items.
Macdonald got here out in his second month and known as his star first-round choose out for needing to be in better shape to the general public. This isn’t a man who’s going to fiddle.
Jacson Bevens has a fantastic clip from his podcast breaking down the good thing about being hyper-focused on the main points – particularly, it retains the gamers from “guessing.” Know your function; comprehend it effectively, comprehend it inside and outside. This appears to be Macdonald’s philosophy by rookie, OTA, and coaching camps, and because it performs out I anticipate a stage of intentionality totally different than current years.
2) The protection actually can’t be worse
Not hyperbole.
The staff was already close to or the precise worst within the league at third down protection, 1st downs allowed, run protection, and crimson zone protection.
And so they nonetheless completed 9-8.
Having now introduced in one of the best defensive thoughts that was obtainable this offseason, who could find yourself proving to be among the best defensive coaches interval, these three marks appear unlikely to be repeated.
There’s nowhere to go however up with the protection, and chances are high extra probably that they’ll go method up than merely cross a staff or two.
If we add the eye to element to the numerous strain fronts that Macdonald was recognized for in Baltimore and continues to impress with in camp, we’re left with the chance of a essentially sound and well-disguised protection.
We….haven’t had that for some time.
It definitely wasn’t the case final season. An enchancment in these two areas appears inevitable, whereas the roster definitely isn’t worse on protection than 2023.
Write it in pen – Seattle is not going to quit extra factors than final season.
3) Geno Smith
Smith is essentially the most established “third-year starter” within the NFL. Just like the dialog in regards to the protection, it’s a close to impossibility that Smith would inexplicably worsen.
Right here’s why.
The re-branded Geno Smith had someplace across the worst offensive line in soccer final season, but nonetheless produced at a top-half charge in many of the similar classes he did in 2022.
It’s arduous to oversell how dangerous the offensive line was final 12 months. Simply disasters in all places as soon as Abe Lucas went down. Sharp Football Analytics had them twenty ninth, Ben Baldwin twenty ninth in cross safety, PFF twenty eighth, and our expensive buddy Mike Clay says they’re the worst group in soccer this 12 months as effectively.
Geno performed below a strain charge of just about 41% final 12 months.
Anyone keep in mind that Week 4 sport in opposition to the New York Giants once they had Daniel Jones operating for his life the entire night time?
That strain charge from Seattle was 46%.
How this performs: The Seahawks line had the particular privilege of being so dangerous it could have lowered the standard ground of its beginning quarterback. We’ve gone in depth about how ridiculous Smith was at avoiding sacks last year, however two factors to contemplate: (1) what if he didn’t have to try this? And (2) it (nearly) definitely can’t worsen.
Enter Ryan Grubb and Scott Huff, two coaches with O-line expertise and in addition respected for his or her skill to show. Enter the reviews that Geno Smith has looked better than any Seattle QB has seemed in camp in a protracted, very long time.
And take into consideration the very worst of Geno Smith, how he’s stored Seattle in practically each sport the protection didn’t sabotage, after which take into consideration the easiest of Geno Smith, who went to the Pro Bowl and led the league in completion share.
Clearly it’s a protracted season, and issues occur. However higher fundamentals (gamers and coaches), improved protection, and a secure quarterback are as near locks because it will get this season.
That could be a robust recipe for a staff to be regression-proof.
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